Election 2022 Hopium Containment Thread

https://twitter.com/MaxKennerly/status/1590783732394430474

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Yeah that’s a really bad look. And David Shor should be banned from polite society.

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https://twitter.com/ScottKacsmar/status/1590791397342613504

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Fairly busy on calls. Anyone call yea or nay or this?

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1590773786051125248?s=46&t=dRm9JoCtGFSQha99JA8iOA

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Really? Pretty please

https://twitter.com/poshea/status/1590748080701599744?s=46&t=dRm9JoCtGFSQha99JA8iOA

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There’s a path, we’re not a favorite. Hard to say, I went deep into the weeds on the data in CO-03, and the conclusion was that it’s a toss-up based on current info. I don’t have time to do it on a bunch of them. His analysis seems reasonable to me, though.

A dozen years ago, I ran with her on a no hope local slate. We were impressed with ourselves we found candidates for everything. The budget was $3k, everyone lost by 30 points. Tuesday, after winning a seat in the Legislature, she got herself elected the chief executive of Illinois’s Orange County.

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Don’t dems usually go “muh norms” and just go with a party-matching replacement

Allow me to

by referencing Post #15 in this thread

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Just chefs kiss if this comes down to Bo-Bo losing in a recount to give the Ds 2-1-8

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No clue if it’s maths possible.

It’s absolutely in play.

No runoffs for the House?

Why on earth would you want to limit discussing abortion to highly educated voters? Gtfo

It makes sense in people who live Manhattan townhouses to whom actual voters are a zoo species.

He thinks it’s a purely philosophical issue, not something people really care about with regard to the impact on our lives.

Oddly enough, that new yorker article describes exactly what happened in my race.

Everyone here knows they don’t really have to care about abortion, and yet, based on one poll in august that said like 70% of our district is pro-choice, our consultants insisted on making our messaging all about abortion.

I, being a) not a member of the consultant class and b) hired as a field director and having less experience in campaign strategy, got ignored when I tried to get our messaging away from this and toward actually pushing back against the stupid “crime and taxes” attacks from the GOP and a superPAC that spent like $2m against us.

Instead we sent 8 (EIGHT!) mailers about reproductive freedom and you had me screaming into a void asking if we could make one, maybe two, about housing and affordability instead.

I literally had text replies saying “abortion is safe in CA, what about gas prices?”

Purple districts in abortion-safe states might actually be accurately described by this “conventional” wisdom.

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@anon38180840 needs some BoBo CO3 Hopium injected. Watcha got?

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that sounds awfully close to toby zigler’s axiom of campaigning, which is don’t talk about what your opponent wants to talk about, and instead stick to what you want to talk about.

there’s some reason for it, but in the end it is just a vestige from a different less-polarized political environment with longer news cycles. which by the way may be remembered erroneously by the current operatives/consultants.

the new political campaign has to be much wider, it has to spread opinions and ideas on a broad range of issues, while fighting misinformation and dirty tricks. but the whole “let’s not draw attention to the crime ad that some gopnik dropped yesterday” is just done as a strategy. confront the ad head on, go on tv and call it a lie, tie it to social safety net cuts, point to police budgets being highest they’ve ever been, and move on. even if you sound like a commie, it will all be in one ear, out the other, because twitter/cable/etc