Not great. We trail by 794 votes, there are about 5,200 Pueblo mail-ins. I believe he can gain 300-350 from curing ballots. Let’s say he gets 200, though. That means he’s down 594 with 5,200 left. So he needs to win the mail-ins by just under 12%. 56-44. It’s possible.
I think we need it to take the House, too.
It appears Boebert gained around 300 from 2,600 in-person ballots in Pueblo. So she took it by 11-12%. This is arguably actually good, since it makes Frisch winning the mail-in by more than that margin very plausible.
There we go
Ramming through some very dirty math on warnock I get that he needs somewhere about 35,000 of 40,000 outstanding to get to 50%. So yeah, 87-88%
Of course who knows what “99%” reporting actually means.
I was wondering why they called the runoff so early when votes poured in over a week in Georgia previously and it went from Republican win to recount to Dem lead, but still recount in 2020.
Yeah usually 99% reporting means, “We think they’re basically done, but there may be a few stragglers.”
I think the people hoping 1% of the vote is actually outstanding are on that pure uncut hopium.
(Unless there’s reporting I’m not seeing.)
If it’s really 98% reporting it he needs 70%ish.
I am just using what MSNBC has on their screen at 4:00. No deep dive at all.
The 2% other votes is killing 50%.
Straight Hopium. Ahhhhhh
Idk what’s happening atm but these tweets up my hope.
https://twitter.com/RonFilipkowski/status/1590807551150796800?s=20&t=kvGIMIdTz0GvYYLH5IT-Rw
https://twitter.com/katiehobbs/status/1590826210237771778?s=20&t=kvGIMIdTz0GvYYLH5IT-Rw
That’s a far more dignified response than she deserves
Taps thread title
Is there movement in the California races?
Is there any path to 220? Good problem to have, but 218 does have the issue of probably can’t actually codify Roe.
what happens with the two dead democrat congresspersons? don’t Dems need those seated when they are voting for speaker?
250 couldn’t codify Roe, because Sinema, Manchin, some other Dem, Collins, and Murkowski would all weasel out of it
Once the dust settles, Dems need to take out ads of their supporters celebrating to…
I mean there’s hopium and then there’s mainlining Walter White’s meth straight from the lab while snorting mountains of coke like Tony Montana.
Just pointing out that it was particularly hopetamistic.
How are you dropping pop culture references from the current year?
Why wouldn’t I?
