COVID-19: Chapter 5 - BACK TO SCHOOL

https://twitter.com/inafantasyworld/status/1283976325204566016?s=21

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Honestly I think we need more videos like this. It was like in Vietnam, public opinion turned when the media started showing what war there was actually like with video and pictures. Americans are dumb and need to see shit at its worst.

Unfortunately hospitals are super against this and that employee will probably be fired. I know a bunch of doctors got fired early on just for talking about it. Which seems dumb, hospitals should want to show this stuff, just make sure you can’t identify anyone.

Hopefully we can get a youtube version of this so it can get shared on facebook where the majority of people who need to see it are.

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I think that’s a fair comment. My point is that the average American Star Spangled Ding Dong on the street who has thoughts like “that’s the kind of thing that happens in Syria, it could never happen in the US of Motherfuckin A” is absolutely not drawing on their depth of knowledge about the historical successes and failures of various states with various political systems. The median American who looks down his nose at “those people in those countries” is drawing entirely on cultural misconceptions and pro-western indoctrination.

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Looks like that video was making the rounds back in June and has been attributed to Mexico and a couple other Latin American countries. Definitely bad though for wherever it was (and probably COVID-19 related), but I’m not sure that is actually a recent video from Texas.

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My parents told me they won’t take vaccine because they are worried about being tracked lol. Kind of surprising how far the apple falls from the tree.

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With all this discussion about civil war I wanted to drop a new podcast I found that talks about exactly that. It has been really good so far. He starts back in april and people who recommended it said he predicted a lot of what is happening. Only on the 2nd episode though so I can’t confirm yet.

Further discussion should happen in the podcast thread obv. So I’ll post it there too but I just wanted people who are talking about it here to see it here.

Just want to add I don’t think its likely either, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see a massive rise in right wing violence. It’s an interesting podcast though.

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Take away there cell phones too then. No vaccine, no cell phone.

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Seen on the street

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“I cannot allow myself to be tracked”

  • sent from my iPhone
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Wait until they find out the government literally assigns them a number at birth, they’ll be outraged.

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Obviously didnt watch this whole thing, but have seen a few clips, and at least Wallace is trying in the clips Ive seen. A lot better questions than any of the mooks at the press conferences ask

Heads-up: I invited the DC data modeler to come join us over here at UP. Hopefully he will and will engage in some discussion with us.

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And they probably carry cell phones around.

@goofyballer, I’m sure you’ve said this, but what is your data source?

The reason I ask is that I’ve recently been playing with the county-level data from Johns Hopkins, and I get a slightly different looking pattern of new cases vs. weekly % change in cases when I aggregate to the state level.

I haven’t looked too much into the pros/cons of using different sources, but am curious about it.

The county-level data is neat because I think it gives you a little more precise picture of where the hot spots are. (Hint, they’re where you think they’d be.)

image

It’s also got population in the dataset, so you can see what’s happening on a per capita basis. If you look at highest number of 7dma cases per capita, it’s not surprising that you get a lot of fairly low-density places:

image

But holy shit at Miami being ranked number 9 on this measure. That is scary as fuck.

Sorry, one more thing. Looking at per capita new cases for large cities (>=100k population) probably gives the best indication of current hotspots:

image

Column on the right is the 7-day average of new cases. Florida and Texas just battling it out.

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I have three basically, the downstairs is all open. They’ll be in 2 of the 3, including my bedroom. My concern is that I can’t wipe down fabric, so my couch and my bed (headboard is fabric) can’t be wiped down.

Right, I will, this is about minimizing that work because it ends up taking a few hours to wipe down everything. The first time it sucked, the second time I moved everything on the counters into my bedroom, and covered the sofa with blankets, which helped save time. But if they go into my bedroom too, I have the bed to worry about.

I also shut off the a/c last time, this time they may be turning it off and on because it may be the source of the leak, so everything will get blown all around.

My plan was to wait a few hours after they’re gone to return. How long do we think it can stay in the air even aerosolized? I thought that was 2-3 hours.

This is a legit ad going around the nursing circles for emergency staffing in Florida:

Are you comparing current 7DMA with week ago’s 7DMA? I think that’s what goofy’s doing, and it’s what I do with the JHU data. My trend map is generated from that comparison to determine the redness or blueness, and then the darkness is calculated based on the peak 7DMA and weighted population density (cases/pop/density). I see on today’s map that CA, LA, HI, WV, SD, MN, NJ, and DE are even or down compared with last week, and everyone else is up.

Yes, comparing current 7DMA with Lag7 7DMA. California is one of the states that stood out as being very different: Goofy had California with about 15% increase in cases, while my county-level data from JHU had California with a slight decrease.

@anon38180840

https://www.safespaceco.com/product/safespace-disinfectant-germ-fogger/

(seems like a troll because it’s called safespace, but it’s not - just the first disinfectant fogger that came up searching)

https://mobile.twitter.com/Bob_Grip/status/1284866705789984770