Luke 375
Zion 388
Curry 260
Giannis 175
AD 165
looks like stuff is continuing to slide.
1 Like
Is that the average of all different types and series of a player orā¦?
Think thatās just the 15k cc base 2
1 Like
Itās the current low ask for the /15,000 LE set. For context a few days ago all of the above moments were trading at around 25%+ higher than those numbers. I usually spot check a few of those as a way to check and see what the general market is doing
1 Like
Gotcha. For a second I thought the 250k cards were like 99.99% from ath.
1 Like
Zion and Curry have 2 new moments, one required for a challenge and around 21k of them coming out this weekend. They should fall quite a bit.
1 Like
Lol not really because Iāve been looking at
and saw some 4figure sales. What I just realized is how much NBATS dwarfs the others in trading volume and price.
whew for a moment I thought gb was actually going to sleep before midnight
and thought o shit thatās it the bubble has officially burst
2 Likes
Whatās the endgame for holding over 100 LBJs? It still feels different than holding 100 bitcoins or Berkshire Hathaway shares and what not though I suppose it fundamentally shouldnāt.
I suppose weād have to know when and how they acquired them. Iām just going by gut feels but it really seems like a weird plan to own that many of a specific player and set no matter how valuable they might be in the future, because different plans would be higher EV in that same bullish future.
If he just opened a bunch of PAX and got a bunch of brons then damn.
1 Like
3 Likes
Holy shit. Iāve actually never seen him be this blatant and I think itās because he doesnāt respect the rookieās defense.
Let me break this down: At first glance it looks like heās looking down when heās dribbling, which seems really weird because a good HS ball handler doesnāt need to look down when they dribble, but heās not looking at the ball, heās looking at the defenderās feet. He keeps crossing back and forth making the defenderās feet get more and more out of position until McDaniels goes full baby giraffe and then he steps back and shoots. Curry isnāt the only player nor the first to do this but heās definitely the goat at it. What makes this particular play weird is that heās so blatantly looking at the defenderās feet, basically declaring that heās gonna shoot a 3, and heās gonna do it when they defenderās feet are at their worst possible position. McDanielās obv plan should be to not bite on every cross and ball fake and keep his feet in the game, but heās a rookie and Iām guessing Curry knew this.
2 Likes
Guy is buying every Jaxson Hayes available. Bought all day from $29 all the way up to $39. Also lol at the handle - this a UP member or some 2p2 pleb?
thinking about this more, im considering doing the labron challenge. the combination of a ton of packs going out and people just looking to instantly sell driving the price down on the seeing stars moments makes me think it might actually be a +EV play if iām able to time the bottom well enough. Plus the freeroll chance for a single or double-digit serial Labron.
Hereās my quick and dirty math, im not fucking around with market caps or total circulating thereās no point for such a rough estimation. Also LOL at looking at legendary prices and stuff like that, that stuff has basically no impact on the price of these moments. I just scaled to the 15000 LE count and for PG and Gobert i just scaled down by a decent amount further than that because their low mint stuff has an obvious premium associated with it currently due to them not having many moments.
Now with people buying these up to complete the challenge, the estimated total could be as high as double, but for sake of comparison ill use 50% increase since that seems to be the breakpoint that flips this from +EV to -EV per my math/logic below. But we are going to have competing interests of people mass-dumping moments combined with people mass-buying to try and complete challenge, Iām thinking those will cancel each other out initially until the dump supply dries out.
havent checked KD one yet but i suspect it will be even less since team KD is weak compared to LBJ team. Might do that one as well TBD on the pricing of both combined I guess. Though I doubt the KD moment will be worth more than say $500-1000. If I do the challenge I plan to sell everything except LBJ/KD reward immediately after the challenge ends, probably list everything at like 70% min ask and hope that a rayvin fish buys them.
Even if say 7500 people do the challenge, then the price of the Labron card /7500 could be valued around $2k or so (price of his dunk card). Just knowing that and knowing that other people know that probably adds another factor to the numbers i listed though, so maybe boost them up as high as 50%. If i see the moments being sold at higher than the 50% boost range, i dont think the challenge is worth it. Iām expecting to maybe be able to sell my moments at a 25-50% loss after the challenge ends, and at a 50% loss on $3550 and estimated 2k value for labron then thatās getting close to break-even range.
6 Likes
Luka cc kind of selling off, I wonder why
AD cool cat under $900 too, buy time?
Iām too gun shy but it could be
Got off the curry for a 400$ loss, great success! 
Guy is already flipping it, Iām sure itāll sell instantly
2 Likes
Rut Roh Bruce and my Marcus Morris card. Rayvin has lowered the value from 900 to 650 making finding a rayvin fish much harder. He now has it listed where he would take a loss on it.
3 Likes