If you unironically follow the Hoarse then lol at you
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It’s a crap article, heavy on rhetoric and light on specifics. It’s the old cliche about what is true isn’t new and what is new isn’t true. I don’t think anyone disagrees that voters are motivated by partisanship and that turning your base out is important. The idea that swing voters don’t exist is flatly wrong. They were very important in Trump’s win over Clinton, see for example here. Her account of the 2016 election, at least as presented in the article, is utterly incoherent:
And in a view that goes against years of accepted political wisdom that says the choice of a running mate doesn’t much matter, the key she says, to a 2020 Democratic victory will lie less in who is at the top of the ticket than in who gets chosen as veep. A good ticket-mate would be a person of color like Stacey Abrams or Julián Castro, she suggests, someone who can further ignite Democratic partisans who might otherwise stay home. The reason Trump won in 2016 was not, she says, because of a bunch of disaffected blue-collar former Democrats in the Midwest; it is because a combination of Jill Stein, Gary Johnson and Evan McMullin pulled away more than 6 percent of voters in a state like Michigan. These were anti-Hillary voters, yes—but they were anti-Trump voters especially, and they are likely to come to the Democratic fold this time around if they’re given a reason.
So swing voters don’t exist… except that there were a bunch of people who voted for EVAN MCMULLIN AND GARY JOHNSON who are “likely to come to the Democratic fold this time around”? Huh? Leaving aside that you are an idiot if you think McMullin and Johnson voters are voting Dem this cycle, isn’t that just a description of a swing voter? And if anti-Trump sentiment was a big enough motivator to get people out to vote McMullin and Johnson, why didn’t Dems win? It can’t have been that Clinton sucked because:
“In the polarized era, the outcome isn’t really about the candidates. What matters is what percentage of the electorate is Republican and Republican leaners, and what percentage is Democratic and Democratic leaners, and how they get activated,” she said.
And her prediction this time is that Dems win via… anti-Trump sentiment! Just totally incoherent. Maybe it’s the article and not her, but either way the piece sucks.
Honestly, what you mean by “it’s a good article” is that you read the headline and it comports with your experience and therefore you said the article is good. You can’t have been convinced by the data presented in the piece because there isn’t any.
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He’s overwhelmingly likely to be mentally ill, but to be fair there are plenty of Russian/Chechan/etc. dissidents who could tell stories that nobody would believe.
Running afoul of Putin is one of a very few ways you might find yourself being poisoned by a doctor.
Motherfucker do you actually think the Senate would pass any of this shit? Go fuck yourself. Why is it always on the Dems to compromise with Republicans but the accusations never, ever go in the other fucking direction.
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It’s also moronic to blame Dems for 3 years of shit when they’ve only controlled the House for the past 13 months. Were they supposed to somehow stop a DOJ investigation?
We all laugh and facepalm at him, but he’s secured a job making well into 6 figures to publish his inane opinions.
I still think all of the horrors that we see developing in news media is really a reflection on our society, and us as individuals. If Brooks, and people like him, don’t get likes or whatever other attention-based metrics they use for revenue, then they fade away.
If I said “I’m the same person, but in recent years, all of my friends, hundreds or even millions of them have changed” you would think that I’m crazy, and I was really the one who changed. Mitt Romney was the darling of the GOP and their Presidential candidate in 2012. John McCain was their man in 2008. George W. Bush was their President from 2001-2009. In just a few short years, they’ve become the most-hated Republicans in the Republican Party. And the truth is, they have not changed, but millions of their friends have.
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Well he got himself a nice ratio for that tweet
well I assume this is bitcoefer in that politico article. She was the best forecaster I think for 18 from what I saw but it seems she’s gone full dem grifter out of it and now she’s gotten media attention and a paid job apparently from that. She’s basically saying lock dem potus and I’m like wut. That article (pretty old but she hasn’t moved from it) is https://cnu.edu/wasoncenter/2019/07/01-2020-election-forecast/ I think her point there aren’t as many swing voters now is correct though, the o->trump voters mostly ain’t coming back.
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Listening to Nancy speak this morning I dont see how anyone can hate her. Exasperated Nancy is the best.
“Im a speed reader. I read through the whole thing and it was nonsense.”
The disappearance of moderate swing voters and the importance of playing to the base has been conventional wisdom here for a while.
I’m not sure how Johnson/MuMullein guys in. Mostly they’re just niche unreliable voters, so I guess in a way you can call them swing voters.
“What’s the frequency Kenneth?”
Bitecofer is solid and a good Twitter follow. It’s funny that she curses like a sailor in the article.
Donnie Diapers getting his ego stroked bigly now.