You’re probably right about Y/A numbers but I don’t think those include sacks, and there’s gonna be a lot of those if the defense knows the QB is dropping back every play. There has to be at least some fear by the defense that they’re gonna get gashed for 15+ up the middle, “keeping them honest” is at least a little bit of a thing.
Although I don’t think teams would really suffer if they essentially called almost nothing but pass plays in the first half, relegating the running game to secondary plays that the QB can audible to when they see something exploitable. Obviously later in games with big leads it would start to make more sense to run and bleed the clock.
If you use adjusted net yards per attempt, which penalizes the QB for sacks as well as interceptions (which are obv more common than RB fumbles), it’s still the case that basically every QB in the league has a better average than the best RBs. Of course Lamar Jackson’s rushes are more valuable than pretty much any other play.
That is where I was headed but that does not really impact real time except at halftime and end of game. In other words defenses may rest more game time but actual time would not be much different.
I think defenses really do get worn down if they’re out there for a ton of plays. Passing seems to have higher variance and therefore more very short possessions even though the average pass obviously gains more yards than the average run.
Fair enough, I just sorted by QBs and saw #30 was over 5.0 but that likely included some backups. I’m not sure whether ANY/Att is the better comparison with rushing yards/att or if simple NY/Att would be more accurate.
Nonetheless the point stands, I think. The worst passing offenses in the league are still largely more effective than the best rushing offenses.
Hate almost every line this week but I am sure I will bet something. I bet Titans +10 at the open just because 10 is a lot of points, but Ravens are OP so who knows
Lines atm are
Minnesota +7 -108 vs San Francisco
Tennessee vs Baltimore -9.5 -108
Houston vs Kansas City -9.5 -105
Seattle +4.5 -108 vs Green Bay
But rushing balances your offense. Running the ball just occasionally means that opposing defenses have to game plan for it. This leaves defenses weaker against the pass and increases passing game efficiency.
True. I’d really prefer to advance both the Ravens and Chiefs without playing the games, so we can be sure of no injuries. That game could be even better than last year.
