actually, poll averaging is a very useful undertaking and I should continue to get paid millions of dollars a year to maintain my poll averaging spreadsheet.
Nate Silver and my actuary brother are sounding an awful lot alike right now. I donât care. If you guys can be this wrong and still be right youâre barely useful information for gambling⌠and thatâs a much wider band than what I would consider useful information.
We really need to figure out a better way to figure out voter preferences and the makeup of the electorate than contacting people and asking them questions. The questions alone will be a huge problem no matter what you ask without really good analytics, which I would prefer to use to just figure out how they vote.
Honestly though I see absolutely no good reason to use the better data stream to do anything but figure out why specific voters vote the way they do and use it to brain jack them back.
From Philly Inquirer, 9 mins ago, nice update page here.
CliffsâPA state dems expecting Biden to win by ~190k
"Philadelphia State Sen. Sharif Street, vice chair of the state Democratic Party, was flanked during a news conference by state politicians, U.S. Reps. Dwight Evans (D., Philadelphia) and Madeleine Dean (D., Montgomery), as well as New York Assemblyman Michael Blake, vice chairman of the Democratic National Committee.
Street said the officials were not declaring Biden had won Pennsylvania, but that he âwill,â drawing a distinction with Trump campaign officials. On Wednesday, the Trump campaign wrongly announced the president won Pennsylvania â an assertion âbased on math,â campaign manager Bill Stepien said â as they sued to halt voting counting in the state.
âWe are in no way suggesting this election is over. We want every vote to be counted,â Street said. âWeâre sharing our internal numbers because thereâs been so much misinformation put out by the Trump campaign that we thought it was important that the public have a glimpse into what we are seeing.â
Streetâs county-by-county analysis, conducted by his campaign staff, was based on the party distribution of the uncounted ballots remaining in each county and suggested Biden would ultimately win Pennsylvania by about 190,000 votes.