The 2020 Election: Delaying the Inevitable

Ladies and gentlemen, this is the 2020 Election SMACKDOWN!

Our headliner is a tag team contest. Our challengers, in the EXTREME FAR LEFT CORNER OF THE RING, are The Democrats, leading off with The Locomotive, the Destroyer from Delaware, the Muderer of Malarkey, the Conqueror of the Vermonster, JOSEPH BIDEN

He’s backed up by, from Oakland, Smokin’, the Bossecutor, Mamala Bear, Ms. Punctuation, the Chai Spice Oreo herself, KAMALA HARRIS.

And now, in the Center-Right corner of the ring, the undefeated champions of the world with a 1-0 lifetime electoral record, the Republicans, with the Bronze God, the Superspreader, the Faker of News, the Bankrupter of Busineses, THE DONALD TRUMP:

And backing him up, we have the Final Apprentice, the Miracle of Miracle Whip, the Lord of the Fly, the Man Married to Mother, MICHAEL PENCE

While this contest has been underway for weeks, today is the day we see results. Here are some times to know (from here, a great resource for all the details):

7 p.m. EST: First fully closed state poles, time to start drinking.

This is normally not all that exciting, as usually this just means Kentucky is the first state called, but Georgia closes then too, and it will be part of the tri-state Needle. Did someone say needle?

7:30 p.m. EST: OH and NC close.

Unlikely to be called quickly, but the counting starts, and NC is one of the Needle states.

8 p.m. EST: Major closures: FL, PA, MI, MN, ME, DE, MA, MD, CT, NJ, IL, RI, KS, MO, DC

This figures to be the time with the most immediate calls, as well as the time we start counting a ton of relevant states.

9 p.m. EST: Second biggest closure: WI, AZ, TX, CO, NM, NE, NY, WY, OK, TN, SD

This will be the main window when some of the swing states may be called.

10 p.m. EST: Last major swing states, IA, NV, MT, ID, UT

11 p.m. EST: WA, OR, CA, and unexpectedly, ND

Given the EVs over here and the reluctance of media outlets to call elections before all the votes in the state have been cast, this is likely the earliest the race could be called.

And by the way, Joe Biden is a 9:1 favorite.

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Sick OP but lol if u think imma wait til 7 to start drinking.

What sort of Needle outcome for Georgia would result in us basically being able to call GG for Biden? Feels like of Biden wins GA, it’s over, right? What about if he’s close, etc

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https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323517758303293440?s=19

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https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1323505766616236033?s=19

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any 1 of NC, FL, GA, OH should be GG

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lol it was up to 14k earlier this week

do i have to tap the sign about me “being bullish because people like stupid bullshit?”

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https://twitter.com/neal_katyal/status/1323505280232103936?s=19

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https://twitter.com/HeerJeet/status/1323517271835205632?s=19

some quality tweets tonight

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https://twitter.com/latifnasser/status/1323333293467525126

Fascinating thread

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https://twitter.com/Oatmeal/status/1323513640318771200?s=19

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SPOILER:

@VinceMcMahon this thread is not going to go the way you think it is. Watch your back in a few hours Vinny boy.

I’m starting to feel megabullish now. I don’t know if Biden will win GA or not, but I suspect it will be close, and if that’s the case - alarms are going to be going off. Because none of the maps where Trump wins have Georgia being particularly close. I think with the modern forecasting tools available, some savvy people on Twitter will be able to infer that close Georgia = gg for Trump based on exit polling information

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NC is not GG but it’s huge. The other three are GG. GA is GG cause it means we almost certainly won NC too.

Cleaned out…

Let me break this down. We were barely dented, but they saw us freaking out and losing our shit and all their combined intellects can’t conceive of how anybody would care about anything other than losing money, so we must’ve been cleaned out, because it’s all they’d care about.

It comes in waves, how much I hate these people.

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https://twitter.com/KenJennings/status/1323501435540049920?s=19

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“The board is set, the pieces are moving. We come to it at last, the great battle of our time.”

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In to see Trump get the epic ass-kicking he deserves. I’ve got two bottles of Pacifico and some cheap wine. Let’s go!

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Is there a site where I can get district level results as they come in tomorrow and compare them to 2016 and 2018 results in the same district?

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