The 2020 Election: Delaying the Inevitable

ban

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Yep. and it should have been so obvious. Amazing buying opportunity 36ish hours ago.

Let the freaking out begin lol.

STONKS absolutely mooning while Trump gets defeated has to really eat at him. I realize it is ultimately bad news for all the reasons you guys have pointed out but that part of it makes me smile.

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The 7400 absentee votes remaining to be counted that were added in GA are from Clayton County, which is huge for Biden. In a race that was going to be decided by such a small number of votes, this swings it heavily.

Jesus Christ, EVERYBODY PANIC.

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https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1324369121887219712

Holy shit, this was actually a good poker analogy .

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Can’t wait to see these 271 votes. Which way will they go … ? And then the delicious anticipation during the six day gap until a further 348 votes get released!

Sorry, for more Nate Ccontent, but here’s Silver’s take on Georgia:

The state of Georgia has released estimates about where outstanding absentee ballots remain to be counted. There’s good news for Biden here: They’re mostly in blue counties. Below, I’ve listed each county’s partisan lean in 2016 — that is, how much more Democratic or Repbulican it was than the state overall in presidential voting that year. Weighting the counties by how many votes they have outstanding, Clinton won them by an average of 14 points in 2016, a year when she lost Georgia by 5 points statewide. Thus, these counties are 19 points bluer than the state on average.

Remaining Georgia votes are mostly in blue counties
COUNTY OUTSTANDING VOTES DEMOCRATIC LEAN IN 2016 RELATIVE TO REST OF GEORGIA
Chatham 17,157 +22
Fulton 11,200 +51
Clayton 7,408 +75
Gwinnett 7,338 +23
Forsyth 4,713 -29
Harris 3,641 -49
Bryan 3,027 -38
Laurens 1,797 -24
Putnam 1,552 -37
Sumter 1,202 +51
Cobb 700 +7
Floyd 682 -38
Burke 494 +8
Taylor 456 -18
Weighted Average +19

SOURCE: GEORGIA SECRETARY OF STATE, THE NEW YORK TIMES

Considering that, on top of that, absentee ballots are likely to be considerably bluer than how the counties vote overall, catching up in Georgia looks achievable for Biden. There are also more outstanding votes reflected here (about 61,000) than earlier estimates, which had been closer to 50,000. One small bit of caution, though, when you’re perusing results: now and then, it will turn out that a group of votes that one source says is still outstanding have actually been counted already, or vice versa. The data on Georgia here would seem to be relatively clear and explicit, but you should always be careful — gathering information about the outstanding number of votes is always complicated in real time.

https://twitter.com/evavictor/status/1324364659076444162

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Regarding those Philly E-day votes still to be counted. They are in fact almost certainly provisionals, and provisionals this year are likely overwhelmingly people who recieved absentee ballots who decided to vote in person instead. That’s going to be heavy heavy heavy democratic.

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If Biden wins only GA it’s 269-269 so everyone is prepared.

lol well at least the optics are bad, that makes me feel better lul

https://twitter.com/neal_katyal/status/1324373651567816704?s=20

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Trump is not pulling out 2 out of 3 of these.

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He might be dead

https://twitter.com/kellyo/status/1324372366974160897?s=21

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Norms!!! Susan Collins is very concerned!!!

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https://twitter.com/ParkerMolloy/status/1324372986514821120?s=20

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They’ve counted everything that’s in, ballots can arrive til 11/12.

Everything they’re counting is mail-in, so I expect it to favor Joe almost across the board.

https://twitter.com/hjessy_/status/1324373615022952451?s=20

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