Carville is the most optimistic Democrat of all time.
So heās the dumbest?
Thatās not really true for Nate - he was a top baseball guy before this and IIRC he was like this as well back then.
Yes, it appears there was another non-philly drop somewhere. No idea how big, what the margins were, or whether or not it was Biden hitting his targets.
Yes, deficit has shrunk but so has # of ballots remaining.
Someone needs to make a spreadsheet of PA vote totals so whenever we get these random drops we can compare it to the previous totals and see if Biden is hitting his targets.
Looks like Georgia SOS site just updated, but I donāt see a difference in the deficit (donāt know if the vote totals changed).
Biden needs to be in front of cameras today. Time to get your president-elect on, Mac
Sounds like a job for our correspondent from the GREAT* Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, @anon38180840
*TBD
I thought about trying to capture each update to do that but my sanity is already in a precarious place right now!
Fuck It, Iām in
I have something like that although itās pretty disorganized. Hereā the latest change:
Candidate | Update 1 | Update 2 |
---|---|---|
Trump | 3,218,645 | 3,224,104 |
Biden | 3,071,780 | 3,088,402 |
Gap | 146,865 | 135,702 |
Yes. Thatās the current count. The hard part is figuring out how many ballots were included in the update every time the deficit decreases.
Ok Iām going to go through the big counties with vote left to count and make a list of their current counts so we can compare when votes are dropped. Will post something in a few minutes.
I decided to turn on some AM radio this morning to hear some sweet sweet tears and instead got:
-Trump on pace to win PA/NV/AZ/NC/GA and the presidency based on their analysis of what is left.
-Many of the fraudulent claims the president and his staff are making have legitimacy.
LOL Glenn Beck and all but I donāt think most MAGA cultists have realize they have lost yet.
Nevada needs to roll out a gigantic slot machine to reveal the votes.
No, really? Thatās vile. Maybe heās colour blind. Or maybe someone else chooses the decor.
So the takeaway now is that GA is more likely than PA or AZ?
IMO, just needs: 1) total votes counted (inc, 3rd party or other), and 2) the difference between last total vote and current total vote, so itās easy to see what the gap closure is as a % of #2.
Iām in full pessimism mode again, I dunno how some of you are so confident about PA or even Georgia