No way that turnout is only 51.41% in Philly, as listed on the Philly website Mr. Hopkins references. Must not have added absentee ballots to that # as they had to make sure they are not Naked and shit. So 2% still in play in my “expert” opinion, lol.
Democrats will have to win both runoffs to get to 50-50.
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4 years sober.
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Makes more sense in AZ with it’s Republican governor than in NV, which has a Democrat governor in Steve Sisolak. And it looks like Sisolak only took $20k from Las Vegas Sands vs. ~350k from MGM. Had Adelson greased him a bit more I would follow this theory a bit more.
yea someone said different earlier but assuming NC is gone which looks like, then we need both just to get to 50, which when all is said and done if that happens ILL TAKE IT
Nevada is a boss state. Fuck off, we’ll call it when we feel like it.
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I mean, lets be honest. WE can hope of course, but Georgia is possibly blue because of a historically anti-trump hatred vote from everyone who is even leaning slightly D. We activated every conceivable voter to go out and vote against the president. He’s not going to be on the ballot in the special and seems unlikely we can replicate that.
The very educated people sharing that theory know all ballots are printed by DHS. And that all jurisdictions used paper ballots.
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We thought NE-2 ended the tie scenarios. But a tie is still live with Red: AZ NV PA and Blue: GA.
I said from the very start, in any normal year (no George Floyd summer), the runaway best VP pick would have been Grisham or Masto. Grisham for experience, Masto for pizazz. Both increased Latino turnout in their elections, and both are popular.
Looking back, I’m not sure if they wouldn’t have been better even with the protests, which seem to have played a part in handing us our ass, if not backfiring completely.
I also said Biden should have snap hired whoever was in charge of Bernie’s Latino outreach.
He did neither, and look where we are now.
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Him not being on the ballot surely keeps a lot of MAGA rurals home too.
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You’re right I started counting with 2000 because of the FL imbroglio and totally forgot about Clinton.
It is obviously highly unlikely. At least the two races are almost perfectly correlated, so we don’t have to pull off two miracles, just one twin miracle.
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Yeah that’s live but that’s really really really really unlikely.
Inside the East Room, the mood was upbeat as hundreds of people, including cabinet secretaries, ambassadors and former officials who have remained loyal to Mr. Trump, mingled and dined on sliders and French fries. Officials who had been pessimistic about the president’s re-election chances suddenly started to picture four more years in power.
That mirage of victory was pierced when Fox News called Arizona for former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. at 11:20 p.m., with just 73 percent of the state’s vote counted.
Mr. Trump’s advisers tried to persuade Mr. Trump to speak in the East Room before Mr. Biden made his remarks in Wilmington, but they were unsuccessful. Instead, they sat and watched as Mr. Biden set the tone for the night.
From the residence, Mr. Trump continued making calls to supporters and friends throughout the morning, sounding subdued and somewhat dispirited to some people. Outside the White House, finger-pointing about what went wrong had already begun. Some aides said that Mr. Trump had often resisted entreaties from Ronna McDaniel, chairwoman of the Republican National Committee, and Brad Parscale, his former campaign manager, and others to spend more time in Arizona. But they said he had resisted in part because he did not like traveling west and spending the night on the road.
There were also questions as to whether, had the campaign not spent so much money before the coronavirus pandemic began, it might have had extra resources to spend in states where Mr. Biden had won or was leading by slim margins, like Wisconsin, Michigan and Nevada.
But others defended the early spending by Mr. Parscale, who among other things had focused on increasing the president’s turnout with Latino voters, who ended up being a key part of his support in Florida.
Lol NYT forever for referring too these as legit campaign payments
But by Wednesday, several White House officials and outside advisers said they were hopeful, but not particularly optimistic, that Mr. Trump’s legal challenges in several states would be able to change the trajectory of the race. The president himself tweeted a suggestion that “a large number of secretly dumped ballots” had cost him Michigan, a message Twitter quickly labeled misleading.
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Cunningham has an outside shot, he needs about 2/3 of what is outstanding from what I calc on the NYT site
Sorry but Soros is a traitor. He is the one funding 1000% match on trump campaign donations.
But don’t spread that around!
NC also still accepts mail ballots late. But it realistically would take a miracle. Better odds for Georgia at this point IMO than Cunningham.