NV is irrelevant without Arizona or Georgia. I agree about PA but damnit it’s problematic that they’re counting so slowly because of our darkest timeline scenarios.
Maybe that’s why Nevada is also taking its sweet ass time with their count too, lol.
NOT ALL POLLS seltzer and inexplicably one of the right wing pollsters seem to have survived this knockout round
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@yuv - i’ll take my Kornacki bestowed knowledge and lay it out
Maricopa counts three traunches of votes - (1) early votes that were received up to and including last Friday, (2) election day votes, and (3) Sat thru Mon + dropped off in person on Tues votes.
(1) was heavy for Biden
(2) heavier for Trump
(3) ???
(4) Profit
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Some bloke on CNN just said that Trump can win AZ by taking only about 55-57% of the outstanding vote.
Me neither but I’d like to see PA get moving again. Also, having one state be the tipping point increases the chances of SCOTUS ratfucking.
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We’re getting results piecemeal, so it also matters where within the county the dumps are coming from, doesn’t it? It’s a big place with bigly red areas next to strong blue.
CNN in Atlanta, they have 29,000 absentee ballots left in whatever precinct they’re in. Hopefully there’s more in the surrounding burbs. We’re not going to know until after midnight.
Most of the remaining vote in AZ in Maricopa. Possibly 50k isn’t? Which will also break Trump but should maybe be mail in? Hopefully?
No way this gets called in the next two hours, right? Slight chance between 12am and 2am EST?
Doubt it with how slowly PA has been coming in.
mmm good memories of Taryn Manning
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I would not be shocked if we eventually learn there is a story behind the early AZ calls. They don’t make any sense unless two really experienced, respected groups made a pretty basic error.
If you want my help you will have to refer to my home state as the Great Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
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https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1324177989853216768
https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1324173596005076994
Feeling better. If Biden wins the Pima (please be mail in) by a lot - that puts a huge dent in Trump’s Maricopa.
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Awesome, so Biden should win when PA finishes counting sometime in 2023.
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Fuck your +6 R point error in FL, Nate Silver. Fuck your +8 R point error in WI, Nate Silver. Fuck your +5 R point error in TX, Nate Silver. Do you see any fucking trends here? After getting clowned on by both sides for 4 years??
You don’t know shit, and you don’t know how to fix your shit. Delete your company. You will forever and always be on the “biggest losers of” lists for 2016 and 2020, and maybe the only one on those lists.
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