Biden deficit at 38,126 in Georgia.
Perdue inches down to 50.21%
1 Like
Gary Peters holds michigan Senate seat!
4 Likes
Maybe we combine polling with those goofy Japanese game shows where like the person tries to run an obstacle course and inevitably gets clobbered by some moving obstacle and knocked into a big pool. Monmouth shows up with like Biden +19 in WI or something, and the studio audience is like nope, into the obstacle course pollsters. Best of luck. Your poll sucks. Nateās like, āThis is A+ rated!ā Nope, good luck running across that rotating balance beam 30 feet over the pool of water Nate. Our model has you as just a slight underdog to get to the other side!
2 Likes
Did this used to be The Forum?
Yeah, Iāve been saying all day Iām nervous about AZ. Thank goodness for PA seemingly coming through.
https://twitter.com/nate_cohn/status/1324160599199240192?s=21
My bank account disagrees.
3 Likes
Perdueās going to a runoff. Itās going to be GA for the Senate, I think itās winnable if Dems make it macro and minimize Ossoff, but I doubt theyāre up for it.
Not that I hear that song very often, but until my dying day when I do, this is the version I will hear in my head.
1 Like
WTF even with Lil Wayne and Lil Pimp? Maybe Dems future with black men not so bleak after all.
Ah never mind then. Well I dunno, Kanye got 3300 in Iowa.
Are exit polls the only way to know demographics voting? What happens with mail-in and early voters?
I still think AZ goes Biden but the AP call seemsā¦weird?
600k votes left plus tight race plus uncertainty of remaining vote makes the call strange. Maybe they know something we donāt, but it seems very odd for them to not call WI and MI when they were clearly over yet also call AZ early.
Oh god, please donāt. Maybe youāre right, but youāre harshing my mellow.
I donāt want to clog up this thread with this off-topic discussion but if you want to make the case in another thread I am curious what that logic looks like.
What do you use? Because my attempts to log into predictit were useless last night. I gave up.
1 Like
Iām cool with an AZ for GA trade but man I donāt want to have to risk it.
Trump will need much better margins in Maricopa than that Pima dumb, but heās run 15 points better in Maricopa thus far.
AZ will be very close.
Itās just decriminalization, so I donāt see retail stores popping up any time soon. I think someone could start offering hunting lessons or something, but monetizing them is something I donāt want to see. Big pharma in the psilocybin business would probably piss me off.
1 Like