OK after going through the numbers, PA is too close for me to call. I was always very confident in MI and WI based simply on remaining vote in major urban population centers that was known. I don’t currently know what’s left in that regard in PA, so based it off 2016 and couldn’t quite get home. Still think we’ve got edge, but not a ton.
So, NV is pretty huge. Going to see what I can find about the outstanding vote in PA. If SE PA has 900K still as was said early, we should be within 100K or so and then it’s going to be a matter of whether the mail vote truly skews Dem even in rural areas. If so, we should be slightly ahead of a coin flip. If not, it’s not looking good.