Stonks & Bonds. lol fundamentals, sir this is a Taco Bell

So, I did some quick reading on this for a few minutes. Let me know if this sounds right.

Venture capitalists sometimes prefer venture debt to raising another round of VC for various reasons, including not wanting to dilute their equity stake in the startup by adding additional owners, especially when interest rates are favorable, and spending less time/resources focusing on raising VC and more time on the product. However, startups lack the revenue streams to use as collateral for traditional loans from banks.

SVB was an early innovator in venture debt, using future equity (warrants) as non-traditional collateral. They used to be able to charge a hefty risk premium, but there are more lenders now and the risk is more understood, so maybe not so much anymore.

These were more in the form of short-term loans to sustain liquidity and pay the bills. SVB discouraged their borrowers to give them exclusive relationships, so when something like high interest rates caused highly correlated problems for all of their clients, those businesses all withdrew money at the same time to cover shortfalls, causing a run on the bank.

I’m no finance bro, but does this sound close enough for someone who doesn’t want to spend much time thinking about this?

The Levine doesn’t mention venture debt. It was just that they took all these deposits and bought longer term bonds or mortgage backed securities to capture some yield. The value of those cratered when rates went up. They would still be fine if they were held to maturity but are forced to sell for a loss when people started pulling all their money out

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If these VC tech bros are so smart why are they keeping all their deposits in the bank with the least sticky deposit base?

Because they think every bad thing that happened before 2005 happened because everyone is dumber than them.

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So this was the largest bank run in history. By far.

https://www.axios.com/2023/03/11/the-largest-bank-run-in-history

I’m no finance guy, but I don’t think any sized bank could withstand a ~20% run in one day.

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When the value of a share of an MMMF dips below $1, it’s called “Breaking the Buck.” Since the MMMF is touted as being functionally as safe and liquid as cash, no reputable fund company is going to Break the Buck unless the company is in a free-fall and/or there has been a serious misuse of funds.

I’m assuming if a temporary situation causes a respected fund house to be at risk for Breaking the Buck, the company is going to do everything possible, including kicking in it’s own cash, to prevent this from happening.

On the other hand, if Fidelity literally goes belly-up, the world will be headed for a wild, nauseating ride.

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Because they understood the benefits of banking with the VC bank. They idea of “hey they just wanted a checking account” is a lie.

https://twitter.com/harryh/status/1634592553168257024

Yeah that’s why smart people invest in gold, which is also held by a company like Fidelity that will certainly let you come and get your physical gold when the world is in chaos. o_O

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https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/1634628658831712258?s=20

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https://twitter.com/DKThomp/status/1634544322677809152?s=20

Google review posted one day ago of my local SVB office location:

LOL. All the Democrats that used this bank are now having to move accounts.

Three upvotes already lol.

SBF SVB DEI CRT - go woke go broke. Pretty simple message. It feels truthy!

Never mind Peter Thiel.

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What’s the galaxy brain reasoning for Warren bringing down this bank?

id like to know the answer to this too - Warren has been one of the most vocal critics of powell’s rate hikes

Warren wanted to regulate banks. Regulation is bad. Ergo, this is all her fault.

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https://twitter.com/chrismohney/status/1634572163863683075

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Elizabeth Warren asked legitimate questions about Silvergate, which Warren described as the “bank of choice” for crypto. The collapse of Silvergate somehow led to a domino effect taking out SVC because there is strong overlap in people dealing with either. And maybe Warren’s comments destroyed consumer confidence and led to a run on the bank. And maybe Haralalol wants to blame everything bad economically on Warren being anti-crypto wherever he can make even the most tenuous connection because he doesn’t want Warren’s POV to win out.

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Speaking of the CEO of SVB

Nothing weird about him cashing out a few millions in stock mere days before the collapse amirite