Odds go up every day.
One theory is that most (all?) Japanese receive the BCG vaccine, which is now being studied in Australia as a preventative measure against CV-19.
I have two people on ignore
A and nun
He deserves it
By what amount? A tiny percentage on top of something tiny is still something tiny.
Cunard is still ultimately owned by Carnival even if main operations are in GB
How many Americans do you think died in the Iraq war? We’re hitting that number this week guaranteed.
LOL
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Also good job on the continued whataboutarding.
Good job on the only American lives mattering.
Or Japan just ran good for a little while because of cultural norms, and now they’re fucked. Because recent news seems to indicate they might be fucked.
I do not agree that Covid increased the risk of nuclear war by “a tiny percentage on top of a tiny percentage.” I believe it increased it by a large percentage of that tiny percentage which still remains, thankfully, low. But I’ll never get to say I told you so if I’m right I guess.
They still have fewer cases than Ireland, what’s making you say Japan might be fucked?
It’s amazing how fast Japan went from all good to all fucked once the Olympics were officially delayed.
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God things are getting grim in Brazil. President not only pulling the Trump line of get everyone back to work but also threatening to fire his health minister if he publicly disagrees with him on this.
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Catching up
I’d like to make clear that while I’m not a specific expert in this field. I am generally familiar with virology and public health from my eductation, but not the field I have worked in.
That said I do probably get more out of the scientific reports and my assumptions are better educated guesses. (Vs the general population)
Feel free to assign a higher level of confidence vs a rando, but recognize that I’m still extrapolating from incomplete knowledge.
Feel free to call me out or ask about my certainty level on anything I say.
With regard to the viral load
High confidence
It can multiply very fast in the body.
Viral load is related To how likely you are to actuallly get the disease. If small, better chance your bodies first line defenses can clear it before it gets started.
Medium confidence
Viral load is a lesser or non factor in how sick you get.
Your bodies chemistry and immune response probably play a bigger role in how sick you get
Speculation in the other direction
Possible that large loads and route (inhalation directly into lungs?) of infection could alllow it to get into the lungs a higher percentage of the time and part of the game of how sick you get has to do with migration out of the upper respiratory system to the lower respiratory.
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Iraq wiki estimates total deaths ~500,000
Vietnam wiki estimates total deaths ~1,300,000
You think ~2 million Americans die from covid?
(None of which lets you off the hook for equating total casualties with American casualties)
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They have dumbass testing criteria:
But experts say the true number of cases in the country almost certainly exceeds 1,400. The government has been criticized for its strict testing criteria, which requires patients to have had a fever of greater than 37.5 Celsius (99.5 F) for more than four days, unless the patients are elderly, have other underlying health conditions, or are connected to a previously confirmed case. Some people who meet the criteria have been denied tests.
Even the United States’ badly flawed and belated testing effort eclipses Japan’s minuscule effort — as of March 20, the US had conducted 313 tests per million people compared to Japan’s 118 tests per million people. Japan is using just 15 percent of its supposed testing capacity of 7,500 tests per day. South Korea, widely praised for its drive-through testing measures, is conducting more than 6,000 tests per million people.
Their death rate is also suspicious. Australia has 16 deaths with 3980 cases. Ireland has 36 deaths with 2415 cases. Japan has 52 deaths with 1692 cases, not quite an Italy-esque death rate, but suggestive of hidden cases.
Here endeth what I know about Japan. Maybe that vaccine immunity could be a thing. Or cases could just explode in the next week. Hard to say.
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A makeshift morgue, with refrigerated trucks set up to handle the mass casualties expected to come from the coronavirus in New York.Credit…Gregg Vigliotti for The New York Times
This photo is at Bellevue/NYU-Langone in Manhattan. The brick building on the right is a homeless shelter.
To file in the “things being done during the pandemic that shouldn’t exist anyway 
” - from an article…
Patients in six hospitals across Scotland are to receive free bedside television for the next three months to combat loneliness during the coronavirus pandemic.
There are around 3,400 bedside units which can use Hospedia televisions across six Scottish hospitals, which can cost a patient £7.90 per day.
Hospitals are rife with shit like this - charges for parking, tv, internet etc - £7.90 per day complete wankers.
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