https://mobile.twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1243450615390404608
Isn’t this the idea behind Brexit?
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The mods haven’t.
Back on ignore for a while with you.
Well at least we didn’t buy tests from Gina I guess.
This actually gives me some hope because the only chance I see of escaping apocalyptic outcomes is if the tests everyone’s been using have massive false negative rates, the disease has spread way beyond our current estimates, and it’s far less deadly than we think.
I wouldn’t hang your hat on false negative rates.
When it comes to rational decision making, I’m not, but for grasping at anything that allows me to maintain a shred of hope for a while longer, I’ll take it.
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So Iceland seems to be a good source of valuable information. They’ve tested 3.4% of their entire population. Early estimates are that 50% of cases are asymptotic while the majority of the rest result in moderate “cold like symptoms.”
A mob called deCode have been conducting random testing. Initial results released on the 21st March showed that of 5571 tests, 48 were positive (0.86% of sample). Stretched to the entire population that would imply that 3,462 are currently infected.
6 days after release of the study official figures have only captured 802 cases. Of these 82 have recovered, 17 have been hospitalised, 3 are on ventilators and 2 have died.
Clearly the majority of known cases are still without outcome but the above all sounds like pretty positive news to me.
Faeroe Islands (population 48k, 140 cases) also seems to be a good isolated community to test.
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My hope is summer pause, plus less population density than Europe/China, and at least in our big cities that do have population density, people are relatively more fit, younger (than Italy) and less likely to be smokers.
The well-run countries and states are doing ok.
What remains to be seen is what opening up looks like. That’s where hopefully the summer pause comes in but then fall will suck probably.
Not sure it’s actually random or that you can extrapolate to the whole population (whole of Reykjavik, sure).
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SA National Parks just closed all campgrounds in all parks. I know nobody cares but I’m registering my annoyance. Was going to head to one with my girlfriend next weekend. Just seems like such a pointless gesture, like motels are still open, for Christ’s sake. I’d understand even if they just closed the ones with shared amenities.
Tried it out. Can confirm that it hurt a lot more going 80.
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@ChrisV:
We’ve been on pretty much full lockdown here for two weeks and just seeing some first improvement in the latest data (Austria). It’s surreal that you are worrying about camping.
Spain is in a particularly bad situation because on the first announcement of lockdown messures in Madrid, people thought it would be a good idea to spend lockdown in their holiday homes near the beach instead of being stuck in the city. So they packed up for a nice mini-vacation and spread covid all over the country. Stay home, it’s really not the time for a trip atm.
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Yeah at least here places that were in lockdown but still had parks open just turned into an excuse for people to gather into large groups and ignore the lockdown. Plus people come to state parks from all over and if they get infected they probably create a shit load of new hotspots when they go home.
Thailand declared a State of Emergency 2 days ago and closed the country’s airports to foreign arrivals. Thai cases are rising sharply on a daily basis.
Yeah, you’re right. It’s voluntary testing but confined to those displaying no symptoms. Not sure if their testing is confined to Reykjavik or if they have a more detailed breakdown or not.
Spain also seems to have had a problem with inaccurate tests: