SARS-CoV-2: Electric Superflu

First nice day in Indy of the year. Went for a run outside and people everywhere not taking this serious. I ran super weird routes to get away from the masses. WAAF.

Edit: Also, a bird shit on me.

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Yeah it’s amazing. The US at least based on a small amount of preliminary data (WA, CA, maybe NYC) seems to have much better success flattening the curve a lot quicker with our crappy lockdowns.

Makes me go back to my theory that Italians may be uniquely hyper-susceptible to this due to some possible combination of - cold, dry weather, family-oriented, touchy-feely, old, smokers, population density, not taking it seriously, underpants gnomes, ???

I did read something that Italians also get whalloped by flu season harder than most countries.

Maybe Italy scared us bad enough that we’re doing a better job taking out lockdowns seriously.

Or maybe it’s just smoke and mirrors and the big boom is coming.

you shouldn’t put people with the suspected plague in the hospital, just in case they have the plague

You mean like going out for a jog?

We just got word that a former board member for our towns historical society (Mrs is the President, I’m the first husband) has it. He is 97 so can’t imagine him surviving.

Went to Wegmans. Got her to wear a mask and gloves. No pics as I’m more afraid of her than CV. I’d say maybe 10% with masks and 20-25% with gloves.

We only wipe down anything we are going to use right away. Everything else is set aside. Thought we were low on the carefulness scale but not from what I saw today.

No. Like people just strolling around in groups together. Indy has a cultural trail that connects all the neighborhoods and it was pretty packed with casual walking.

My sister is a nurse and makes like $50/hr. But sure Linz, she’ll probably jump at the chance to get laid off so she can make over 50% less. I’ll go tell her the good news!

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Would perhaps hold the phone a bit on NYC getting better.

https://thecity.nyc/2020/03/queens-elmhurst-hospital-hit-with-coronavirus-patient-crush.html

The city’s public Elmhurst Hospital in Queens has been overrun with seriously ill coronavirus patients — including 13 who died in a 24-hour span, officials said Wednesday.

You need to take a nap or drink a cup of coffee or something.

I’m not saying we should put all suspected COVID cases in the hospital. I’m not saying anybody should do anything.

I’m saying there ARE many people being treated in the hospital for their symptoms (who might die, need respirators, etc) yet who are not confirmed positives yet because tests are in short supply and have a long turnaround time, and therefore you can gain a better idea (or at least another idea) of current serious case rates by looking at ED surveillance data instead of looking at only COVID+ hospitalization data.

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Yea I think everyone in the US has been getting lulled into a false sense of security for the past few days.

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I’ll grab a coffee.

But there ain’t no room in NY hospitals for people that might have it. They’ve either got it cause even under 40’s can’t breathe unlike your flu (no test required), or “we’re expecting to be a little busy at this time, call back later, like when you can’t breathe”

You either have this and require tubilation, 50% go on to require ventilation and 50% go on to die
or you not that fucked yet that you can go home until you might be 1 in 7 that are needy enough to take a bed

It’s heartbreaking to just see a block of Americans standing outside in a line in the rain to get a test.

https://twitter.com/GeoffRBennett/status/1242921693401755649

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At least it’s available. You aren’t getting tested in Missouri unless you show up at the hospital and even then probably not.

It’s beyond obvious by now that pervasive testing is a crucial component to slowing the spread

George RR Martin is ghostwriting this season

https://twitter.com/RepKatiePorter/status/1242910932092805122?s=20

Oh boy it’s time for the daily shitsho-I mean briefing.

Really seems like Alberta is killing our response. 4th highest testing rate per capita globally, just issued fines up to $500,000 for anyone not following covid rules, deputized bylaw officers to issue fines and added further social isolation rules.

We really don’t want to be deputizing volunteers in the US to patrol the streets. Trust me on that.

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Italy had a lot going against it. First cases seem to have been mostly young people. A big football match with people in the crowd spreading the virus without knowing it all over northern Italy. Ignoring lockdowns all over the place because no reports of casualties. Then shit hit the fan and now other countries are acting a lot faster pointing to how bad Italy got. Even the bad US and Spain responses are still better than Italy.