Ok team guillotine. We need to test the prototype so we need 15 nominees.
Nominees need to say something rank and stupid about the current crisis.
Orange and spawn is not on the list for this. They get their own ceremony.
I’ll go first.
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If anyone is interested and on Instagram, Pete Buttigieg is doing an IG live interview with a New York based ER doctor who has been diagnosed with COVID starting in a couple of minutes. I doubt it will be too political, other than hating on trump…more about what it’s like on the ground in NYC and what it’s like to actually have the virus, from a health care worker.
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Fuck me. Massachusetts cases increased 60% today.
My county almost doubled.
Man, reviewing the literature metal oxide filaments all day for four straight days is going to turn my brain into goo. Easter cannot come soon enough.
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New hospitalized isn’t as much. I’m looking at hospitalized where available, because I think it’s the only metric that isn’t going to get skewed that much by wild testing frequency swings.
The only thing I worry about is if hospitalized is accurate.
It is 90 degrees today in north Texas, so I am now safe!
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The only somewhat reliable data right now is deaths, and even that we don’t know if all deaths are getting attributed properly.
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The problem with hospitalized is that there are many many presumed positives currently in the hospital awaiting results. That’s why the hospital ED surveillance data is really important. The spike in NYC alone of respiratory/flu-like illness amounts to several thousand people per day.
The other big problem is that there is no standardization of the data whatsoever because the federal government is incompetent. COVID tracking project attempts to do so, and the assumptions they have to make to get the various data all apples to apples shows how ludicrously lacking the response is.
Right. I trust NYC hospitalized because Cuomo and everyone is on it and using it as their key metric over how much to flip out right now.
Other states maybe not sure.
If only we had a Will in every state who could tell us what his hospital is doing and call around to all the other hospitals.
The Atlanta thing seems to be largely about Grady, which was already 200 beds short because of a flood. The mayor is sounding the alarm, as she should.
A place with the resources of NYC I see them finding a way to get through even if they have to build a temp hospital like China. An inner city hospital in Atlanta or New Orleans not so much.
Well if you put all the presumed in hospital together then you can safely assume they not ‘presumed’ anymore…if one of them has it, most has now. And so have the rest of the patients in the hospital for ailments like not presumed corona. Way to infect the hospitals
Hopefully US medics have more of a clue then some of the posters itt
Italy has turned the corner. It’s slow but it’s definitely getting better over there.
USA is not looking good. Orange line is the trend based on Saturday’s data, we’re going to reach 1,000 dead 2-3 days earlier than predicted. Blue line is the updated projection. We’re on track to reach 10,000 dead in the next 12 days if this shit doesn’t slow down.
Texas just put a brand new covid tracking system online yesterday. It is estimated they were previously undercounting cases by as much as 100%.
My uncle with dementia is in a hospital in Kansas for gall stones. My aunt can’t even visit him. I assume they’re taking C19 protocols seriously.
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Still crazy how Italy is getting 5k new cases a day. Where are they coming from?
Live Kroger pick-up trip report:
Some dipshit who can’t drive approached the designated spaces from the wrong side as I was about to pull into a spot. He proceeded to drive through the spaces, them back up so he could get into one at the appropriate angle. Then he couldn’t figure out what space he actually wanted to be in and pulled through to a different one.
He’s also not paying attention, so the Kroger employee had to ask me if I was him.
Side note: store looks as busy as any other non health crisis day. So reassuring.
The other issue is that the big numbers will dominate the national math. 2-3 exponentials all hitting similar peaks with lots of areas with small numbers or the really big (NY hopefully) tipping may make a linear looking curve nationwide.
This assumes that there is a certain point in each location where it gets locked down hard with a similar lag We certainly have potential to have an occasional case where they lockdown way later than is obvious (hi Florida).
If NYC deaths start slowing (at least the rate of increase). Maybe we can level off at some number (500-1500/day). But any one place can blow it up to 5,000 plus if they eff it up enough.
People who got it 3 weeks ago and are now sick enough they have to go to the hospital. People who got it from an asymptomatic family member after lock down. People, at least initially, not taking lock down seriously.
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QUE?
People are hospitalized in order to treat their symptoms, and are also awaiting test results–that isn’t a value judgement; that’s a fact. This is the population I’m talking about not being included in the current hospitalized COVID+ data, and why the data has limitations (especially outside of NYC, where many places have a 5-day lag time in test turnaround, such as Georgia).