Put these numbers for New York state together based on statistics from Cumo’s daily press conferences. Don’t really see any curve flattening yet.
| Date | Total Cases | Daily Tests | New Cases |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3/22/2020 | 15,168 | 15,915 | 4,812 |
| 3/21/2020 | 10,356 | 12,979 | 3,254 |
| 3/20/2020 | 7,102 | 10,072 | 2,950 |
| 3/19/2020 | 4,152 | 7,584 | 1,770 |
| 3/18/2020 | 2,382 | 4,482 | 1,008 |
| 3/17/2020 | 1,374 | ? | 432 |
The early mask info is bogus. Everyone in an enclosed community space should be wearing something. A bandana plus glasses or goggles better than nothing. Make it a bit hard for the little sucker to get in. A billion people in Asia are unlikely to be wrong.
does this include people in essential/infrastructure type jobs? or like, people starting those jobs?
Of course there is no curve flattening the shelter in place order was given like 3 days ago and all the airports were still packed shoulder to shoulder at that point. In NYC i would guess we are 2-3 weeks from peak at absolute best. Most of the rest of the country will be worse because they DGAF.
Need to see at least 3 and preferably 4-5 days that are under the previous curve before you should have hope. So much reporting bias- did all precincts report in, was a particularly active one late that day for some reason, lab delay, etc?
Please do not get excited when it only goes up 10% one day after going up 40% per day for the last week. I’d say more likely the second day goes up 60% than stays at another 10%.
It sounds like a pretty loose order for now. Similar to NY and CA. You can still go out to get food, medicine, etc. Essential businesses and workers are still to work, and I’m sure businesses will stretch the definition of essential.
Is the US recording deaths ‘differently’ to ROW? Say I have COVID-19 and COPD, I suspect US will record this as COPD death?
French death toll rises by 112 to 674
The death toll from coronavirus in France has increased to 674, after another 112 people were confirmed to have died over the past 24 hours.
“The virus kills and it is continuing to kill,” said health official Jerome Salomon on Sunday.
A total of 16,018 cases have been recorded in France, but the figure is widely believed to be an “underestimate”, Mr Salomon warned.
France has been in lockdown since Tuesday, with only essential trips outside permitted. Mr Salomon urged the people to show “patience”.
Plus it seems NY has massively ramped up testing over the last week. I’m not sure the numbers really mean anything, other than confirming that NYC is fucked.
Yeah, NYC is basically America’s Wuhan at this point.
Trump isn’t admitting he had it even if he’s had it twice.
Yes to the best of my understanding
That was happening for a bit in the CR but then there was a spike in the number of cases.
Seems that at a certain point your typical day is a 15% to 20% increase in cases (what we’re seeing in Spain and France now). I have to wonder if at a certain point in time the virus kind of runs its course, almost like it runs out of people to infect.
That’s a COVID-19 death in UK and Euro (and, dare I say it, probably China too)
Donny gonna claim a win for the lowest world death rate (LDO)
Welp, pack it in. I’m not going to read a dumber article this week.
https://upennstatesman.org/2020/03/18/penn-stole-our-senior-year-over-the-common-cold/
Sounds like Rand might end up infecting a ton of Senators:
https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/1241799144559251456
It certainly will. The question we can’t really answer is how bad it gets before that happens. Like we have no idea if only a couple of percent of the population of Lombardy has been infected, (meaning you would have to believe it will continue unchecked minus whatever effect social distancing has), or if a significant percent of Lombardy been infected.
It seems experts think something like 40% to 80% of a population needs to get infected before something like this burns out. And then I’ve heard that there are also examples in history where sometimes contagions just go away, with no explanation.
Oh no not cops please no