Helps that probably 25% of those MAGA convoys are made up of off-duty/retired cops
I thought it was one of the rulez
If we bink NC, FL, and GA, nothing else matters. He could win AZ, TX, NV, MN, MI, WI, PA, IA, OH and he’d still lose.
Poal is bastard without an option for 0%
Fallacy. Just because some of them are outspoken doesn’t mean all of them are.
My favorite thing about the idea of “shy trump voters is simple”.
There have allegedly been a study or two on this where people were too afraid to share with an anonymous pollster they were going to vote Trump BUT they would openly share with an anonymous researcher they want to vote for Trump AND they were afraid to admit it.
It’s nonsense.
still have to win NM or NH clearly neither would be safe in that scenario.
Rofl
If shy Trump voters were a thing, Trump would poll behind other GOP candidates like Ernst and Graham. The opposite is true. The theory is nonsense with zero empirical support.
they’ve already pivoted from shy trump voters to trump voters are lying to the pollsters
I get that, but he’s sure as shit still claiming victory while a lot of dem guarantee states (like for example, even NY possibly) appear redshifted. It’s not just the Midwest that’s going to be redshifted on election night.
In case anyone was actually worried about BUT TEH BETTING MARKETS
https://twitter.com/davemasonbol/status/1323046660067512321?s=21
Summer Taylor was willing to do it in July.
All laptops matter
If this is how the NYT is gonna cover this shit, its going to be a problem.