or didn’t want to answer
It’s also well timed with trump canceling an event yesterday due to weather. Biden’s social media team has been killing it down the stretch imo.
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Half a point from “clearly favored”
This is actually 89/11
What are you talking about? I counted those red dots. There are only 10.
Edit: Oh, nm, ICWUDT.
the possibility of a tie seems really weird to me.
Probably 80/20 with shenanigans. Meaning that if it’s close in a single deciding state we’re fucked the vast majority of the time (even if we’d win by counting the votes - which the model assumes).
From a non-representative panel study, evidence that people who said “both sides” in 2016 are breaking towards Biden (or away from Trump).
This map was much more likely several months ago. It is now a pretty extreme outlier but likely the only possible map for a tie:
https://mobile.twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1322160084651266048
Something’s happening in Texas. I’m not sure what yet. But something. I think we’re going to settle the age-old dispute, at least in Texas, that “democrats would win if all the democrats actually voted.”
7 Likes
New pole in MI
Biden + 13
Among people who have already voted: Biden 63, Trump 34
Among people who have yet to vote: Biden 43, Trump 48
As of last night, early votes in MI were more than 50% of 2016 total votes
In the Senate race, Peters leads by 13
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If Beto and Abrams come through in TX and GA though voter registration it would be some real Obi Wan Kanobi shit
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A vlogger I follow went to drop her ballot off this week in California and the drop box was only open 10-3! Lol America. Why does a Dropbox have hours?
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Was it inside a clerk’s office or something?
No just out on the street. Looks like a fancy mailbox.
Ha ha do they actually have to send somebody out to lock it and unlock it? WTF??? This country man…
NC is now at 86% of 2016 votes with just under 4.1M cast. 2 days of early voting left. Here’s a comparison with 2016.
https://twitter.com/OldNorthStPol/status/1322159331085869059?s=09
1 Like
It’s happening?
22 Likes