Voting in Southlake took 90 minutes. It never takes 90 minutes. Usually, takes me 15 minutes start to finish. Lots of people were voting. Whatever the result, if we see historic voting levels, it will make either result easier to swallow, imo.
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Some WTF SurveyMonkey polls.
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1316559585411575813?s=20
D- online only pollster that leans D+5%, wtf. These aren’t polls, they’re experiments.
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One thing for the WANAF crowed is that the 16 polls were all off in a single direction. Some may have been late deciding Trump voters and the comey letter, but a big factor was pollsters missing the demographic importance of education. So all those Hillary +5 polls in the Midwest under weighted the mass amount of non college whites that were swinging hard Trump. They won’t make the same mistake in 20. They may even swing too hard the other way trying not to repeat the mistake. So that makes Bidens position more promising.
At least that’s a thing I heard. Maybe it was here. Might have been Nate. Might have pulled it all out of my ass. Who the fuck knows.
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More weird ass survey monkey shit. Note that it’s a month long polling window.
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1316561837203304448?s=20
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Will it really though? Will it really?
For me, yes. If 80% of the electorate votes, and Trump wins, then I know I that USA#1 is beyond hope, and I don’t have to worry about it anymore. Right now, it’s Schrodeinger’s shit test. USA sucks, but maybe not. If 80% vote, I’ll have my answer.
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Trump voters also are more likely to be in places with minimal waits to vote
ME-2 is very rural white. Trump carried it over 10 points 4 years ago.
NH was only a few votes in 16, and more rural white than those other three.
NV voters do not want anything to do with covid shutdown talking stuff as so many of them work in casinos though polls badly understated dem support there in 16/18. Polling in NV isn’t correlating to the national numbers as we’d expect for a now big blue state so there’s a little concern there.
As I’ve said, I think there’s a very real chance the turnout models are wrong and we blow turnout out of the water compared to the last 50 years. I think that would mean a Biden landslide, but the last time we went over 60% Nixon won in '68 with George Wallace also getting a chunk of the vote.
I think 65% or higher turnout is very possible.
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I hope they fucking figure out how to spend it.
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i get that this is the way politics here work and i’m suppose to feel good about Biden raising so much, but it’s pretty sickening to read about all that money raised by political campaigns.
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I get that, but with the proliferation of small online donors democrats are less beholden to deep pockets, which are now a fairly small % of the total haul. Republicans on the other hand are mainly propped up by fat cats and grifters and now find themselves at a persistent fundraising disadvantage (except in races like state AGs, which are particularly important to tham).
You all thought Citizens United was bad, even though most corporations don’t do much direct donating (bad optics for customers and employees). Just wait until Justice Amy Coney Barrett issues a 6-3 decision holding that Act Blue constitutes an unlawful conspiracy.
Yes when the Trump Census is complete, Wyoming we have 270 EVs.
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i’m not even talking about the ‘being in the pocket’ angle, which is obviously true and important. I just feel bad actual small donor paying billions just get politicians elected.
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