Hodlgang
I know lol Fox and if anything it should go in the media thread, but this is so annoying.
So, both the headline and the subheadline do nothing to explain that "Before leaving Pennsylvania, Biden clarified his comments to reporters. He said his remarks were “taken a little out of context,” " and the article does nothing to support that.
But the hilarious part is the end, in which they have no problems with Trump’s bizarro claims, and they even helpfully clarify his quote for him, even though he never does himself:
“You know that I’ve been complaining very strongly about the ballots, and the ballots are a disaster. Get rid of the ballots and you’ll have a very peaceful — there won’t be a transfer, frankly. There will be a continuation,” Trump said, referring to mail-in ballots. The ballots are out of control.”
Headline: TRUMP SAYS WE SHOULD GET RID OF BALLOTS
Almost sounds like chicanery to me…
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People to follow if you’re not already:
@nate_cohn
@natesilver538
@redistrict
@amyewalter
@cookpolitical
@seantrende
Biden at 86/14 in 538 tracker. Still “favored” though.
It becomes “clearly favored” when the candidate is at 90%, and “very likely” when it’s 99%.
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I thought at 90% it becomes: “I don’t wanna jinx anything, buuuuuut…”
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This is especially true of gerrymandering where, after a certain threshold, the gerrymanders blow up spectacularly.
This is because they are designed to cause republicans to have just enough votes to win each district while not wasting any votes by creating a lot of super democratic districts and a lot of just enough republican districts. In a wave election though, having all those “just enough republican” districts can backfire spectacularly because there aren’t that many “really republican” districts, so all the “Just enough republican” districts flip.
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538 uses the 14 USC Dornslife tracker, which has Biden +13. The 7 day version of it has Biden + 14.5, his largest lead yet: https://election.usc.edu/
Worth noting that this tracker had Trump +2 in 2016.
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https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1315246204217946112
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1315246520577527814
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Also @ForecasterEnten (He was one of Silver’s protege’s, now works for CNN).
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He nominated like 1,000 judges. And some, I assume, are good people.
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Lol, people really fucking hate LIndsey Graham:
He appears to be more unpopular than Ted Cruz at this point, which is quite a feat.
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Not sure how I forgot him, thanks.
You mean your begging on Hannity a couple of weeks ago didn’t work Lindsey … oh no.
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https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1315288909253935105
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1315290229037768712
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1315285878017794048
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1315286548309569537
Biden Currently +10.3 in the 538 tracker, 52.2 to 41.9. On this day in 2016, it was Clinton + 5.9, 49.1 to 43.2. And that was damned near her peak. Biden is also polling significantly better than peak Obama in 2012, peak Obama in 2008, and peak Bush both times. His polling average is roughly equivalent to Clinton/Dole in 1996, except he’s got a higher absolute share of the vote than Clinton because of Ross Perot (who probably ate more into Dole than Clinton).
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Also he has the largest October polling lead of any challenger to an incumbent president in the history of modern polling, going back at least until the 30’s. Source: Polling for United States presidential elections - Wikipedia
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Cross Post with the Trump thread
https://mobile.twitter.com/brhodes/status/1315290197421039616
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No I think you got this one.
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