What would your knowledge rate have to be before you’d be comfortable going on the show? Let’s do it as % of clues per game you are nearly certain that you know and not the number you think you could get correct from using a smart guessing strategy. Your buzzer skill is gonna be a wildcard so don’t factor that into your answer.
I think I could be competitive in the 70-75% range.
Why Matteo pulls out a W from behind in FJ. The challenger wiped up in book and movie categories so with 20th century cinema being the category, figured she’d get it for sure.
No idea how often the big streaks have been saved by come from behind FJs.
Maybe I’m just biasing it against my personal knowledge, but that seemed like a really easy FJ.
Also, for fucks sake, write SOMETHING. Surely you know the names of a few 20th century movies.
I’ve only seen bits and pieces but from somewhere in my recess I know that the home was call Xanadu.
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Challenger wasn’t bold enough on the last DD. With a superchamp on the ropes, you have to try and put it out of reach.
FUKKKKKKKKKKKKK
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Seriously. I mean like my fucking 16 year old guessed and he only knows like three black and white movies and …. He guessed right! FUKKEN WRITE SOMETHING. ARGGGGGGGGGG
USA #1
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Well, at least now I don’t have to keep watching when Mayim takes over next week.
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Can’t we have a week with Ken and without Matteo?
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Finally got around to watching this week’s shows.
New champ isn’t gonna last long, but at least she knows how to bet on FJ.
we really need Joe Buck back
Oddly in this case, she might have been better to have gone all-in. She needed be right while Mattea was wrong.
She did protect her extra $1,000 for 2nd vs 3rd but missed out on $7,200 of winnings.
She was probably more than 7:1 to win. (4 or 5 to 1?).
If she was >2/3 of first then she bet optimally but she wasn’t.
I think you’re overestimating her chances. If you’re her, you’re in second place behind a 20+ day champ. No one is reasonably estimating their chances at 7:1 or better in that spot. It might be close to that if you’ve see her whole run, but I assume that wasn’t the case for the new champ.
I think generically WRx is about 20-25% so let’s say 4:1. I think Mattea’s edge is an additional 50% not double.
So yeah it’s close-ish. But I still think the +EV is likely on the big bet.
Some fraction of the time 3rd is going futilely all-in and missing so we get a little back there as well.
I say you plays to win the game. Eff 2nd vs 3rd unless you can win on a miss.
FJ wagers yesterday were…odd.
Before FJ:
3rd: 2000
2nd: 13300
1st: 18000
The bets:
3rd: 1000
2nd: 12100
1st: 4600
Don’t often see the player in 1st playing like they were in 2nd (basically depending on a miss from the opponent regardless of whether you answer correctly). And I have no idea why 2nd bet that much. Just bizarre all the way around.
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Does that mean the rideshare champ is gone?