He’s still the champ
First place isn’t a bad wager if you presume second place wagers rationally. Second place was a complete tire fire.
Agreed, but you rarely see it.
Especially because 2nd place usually doesn’t wager rationally (as evidenced here, though even among irrational wagers, whatever 2nd was doing here made no sense at all).
The odds are not in your favor. (For second to bet rationally).
15,200 vs 7,600. Our champ from Philly wagers $0. Iirc, the last several lock-tie leaders have bet $1.
No Karma.
The NATURE BOY Ric Flair
Quite possibly the worst guess of all time? at least take a stab at someone known for doing commercials. Shaq or something. I think Ive only ever seen one Ric Flair commercial ever and it was for some cash for gold thing or something.
According to 22 thread, this spot has been looked at and and the EV of $1 and $0 are very close. Dominant factor should just be how you feel about the category.
If you think you are anywhere near 50/50 you should go for it. It’s a one sides equation. Anything from moderate dislike to love for the category is $1. Needs to be strong strong dislike to bet $0.
Somewhere around 60% of the time first and second are both corrrect or both wrong. Of the other 40% first is several point favorite for Right-wrong vs wrong-right. That’s a huge bias toward betting $1.
(I’ve been pretty heavily involved in the 22 thread on this topic, my full math is in there somewhere).
I admit I haven’t done a deep dive, but the thread captain over there (ntnBO?, I think) seems to repeat it a lot, and he seems quite accurate about most of his takes, so I’ve accepted his view on this without much question.
Really dislike the guy on the current winning streak. No idea why.
Kinda surprised here. Guy seems genuinely moved every time he wins, and as a rideshare driver you can tell he appreciates every dollar he wibs
The only thing about him I don’t like is that he basically whispers “what is” on his responses, I literally only hear him say it maybe 15% of the time
Wry conservative wagers. Surprised he has made it this long.
He’s definitely had some weak opponents
Oh that, yeah, I’m basically desensitized to timid dipshits
Can’t often say this with this level of confidence, but I 100% would have won yesterday.
Knew almost every triple stumper (and there were a bunch), including the one in FJ.
He goes down in a rather ho hum game. He did make a horrible FJ wager. First and second were very close. He should have bet small.
He didn’t excite me as a player. Can’t believe he got 16 in a row.
Yeah, his betting game was very poor. He also should have gotten final.
I liked him as a guy, less so as a player. He left a lot of money on the table, but I get it. Playing scared is hard to overcome for someone who needs the money
Who is this new champ reminding me of?? Some movie or tv character. It’s fucking killing me.