it’s gotta be like 75-80% at this point
To put a finer point on it, Wasserman just called AZ for them. They need to win either NV or GA and they appear pretty likely to win both.
Does your estimate assume winning the GA runoff?
No. They’re probably shipping NV.
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I like starting my day with Oolong and hope.
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It sounds like you think that the estimate given by pvn is too low.
I think it might be, too. CCM is probably 75% at this point on her own? Plus at least 50-50 for Warnock, and that probably spikes depending on what trump does.
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If you like PredictIt and trust Wasserman’s AZ call, it’s like 93%.
If you are huffing hopium like I am, the official outlook is crispy as fuck.
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35,000 mail-in ballots ARRIVED yesterday in Clark County. They are 41.9% Dem, 24.7% GOP, 33.4% other. Dems should win other, so you’re looking at probably 60-40 at worst there. That’s another 7,000 in margin for the good side, and we’re only down by 9 with a ton left to count in good places.
It’s not a lock yet, but I wouldn’t be shocked if it is by tonight. Networks may hold off on calling it because you never know what’s arriving in the mail today and tomorrow, but CCM is in the driver’s seat in a big way here.
I’d say she’s closer to 90%.
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And now he’s campaigning for Walker
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Wasserman already called that one, Kelly isn’t leading by over 100K, he’s winning by over 100K.
https://twitter.com/cbouzy/status/1591050120032030720
LOL. Whatever this guy is on, its a lot stronger than hopium.
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cruz is a vorp champion
lol Ted Cruz. Bro, you aren’t DeSantis. Asshat MAGAs outside of Texas don’t even like you. Your brand sucks and everyone thinks your a douche.
Please, feel free to spend as much time around Atlanta with high profile speaking engagements! Nothing better to GOTV for Warnock.
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MUH VEINS!
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