Trump will be criminally convicted of a felony before election day. Maybe there would be some doubt if there were only one case against him, but when 4 prosecutors and 3 presiding judges are pushing everything as fast as possible while observing a minimum of due process, book it.
Ken Paxtonâs trial is set for April of next year.
He was indicted 8 years ago.
Childrenâs glands.
Even the best scenarios result in the SCOTUS issuing a stay pending appeal, right?
I will take action on this
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Gee, thatâs a tough one. Oh what oh what could it be.
Itâs pretty standard for people to believe something wonât fail until it actually completely and utterly fails. These people will have faith until sometime after the first missed election.
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95% of god telling people what to do also happens to be exactly what they want to do
What are the odds?
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$100 at even money. Settle via venmo.
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Plus they have chosen to base their entire worldview on an aggressively anti-fact fairytale where the central and most sacred tenant is believing the most outlandish things in spite of the mountains of evidence to the contrary. Not exactly hard to see why someone like this would love trump. He is the most âreligiousâ person on earth.
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Was waiting until the bet got booked so as not to ruin econâs action but there even being a criminal trial prior to election day has to be a huge dog. Add in needing a unanimous jury in a charged political environment and the odds of convicting Trump prior to election day has to be nearly zero.
Hope Iâm wrong but getting 12 non-MAGA types on a jury is going to be nearly impossible. And we are already seeing signs that the obvious delay strategy for Trump will work anyways.
None of these cases have even had a preliminary hearing yet have they?
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Also the small matter that in the impossible event he was convicted there is a zero percent chance said conviction would result in any legal or political consequence.
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He gets us.
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Expecting my first annual payout on this.Happy to make the same bet with anyone else.
@Cactus when youâre ready. Pay 20 to a charity of your choice on this list.
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Nothingâs certain. Iâll take any extra equity.
Nikki Haley gonna find out why the caged birdbrain sings. Maybe.
https://x.com/CBSNews/status/1738321079393779850?s=20
Trump allies are working to quash the possibility of a Trump-Haley ticket.
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I canât see Trump putting somebody on the ticket who has criticized him for being too old, etc.
Iâll give you even money a jury will be sworn in before Labor Day. Fair value for that is like 0.70 or 0.80, so there is plenty of edge for me.
Amended to include âor opening argumentsâ, since there might be a bench trial.