COVID-19: Chapter 6 - ThanksGRAVING

Lol, intervention. Absolutely nothing can happen for the next 11 days. You think Trump or any right wing creatures will even think about touching some kind of distancing or mask mandate prior to the election?

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Yup and then the mental midget Chris Hayes of the world tweet about see we can open schools safely with no context.

I also think it was a pretty good article.

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So the virus is god. Makes sense.

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No of course not, but blue states may act on 11/4-11/10 and slow the growth before Thanksgiving, so maybe we’re only around 150K a day or something then. (I haven’t done the math just guesstimating).

Take home seems to be that USA#1 just got the memo! Nothing different in that article than Euro scientists have been reporting for 3+ months now. Glad to see it’s finally filtering through though; can only be good for the kids <16yrs!

It might also mean you shut things down in the right order, when the 2nd wave arrives with you

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Lol 2nd wave. We are going for the third crest of the first wave.

We do make it really easy for other countries to understand what is the stupidest things they can do.

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Wow ND. They were above 10/1,000 14 day sum 3 days ago when I last Updated my spreadsheet.

Just looking at the raw case numbers, drawing live to 20/1,000.

1 in 50 NDs pozzed in a 2 week period.

Deaths are coming up, approaching 10/day. Will go up some more. We could be looking at >500 in one month. At 800k population that’s an annualized death rate of 0.75%.

If the ifr goes back up due to overwhelmed care, colder weather, worse infected demographics. Yeesh.

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I’m going to go out on a limb here and guess that the hospital system in ND is not the best in the nation.

EDIT: Ooof.
Hospital capacity has become a concern around the state and in Bismarck. There were 231 available staffed inpatient beds plus 30 intensive care unit beds in North Dakota on Thursday afternoon, according to state data. There were 12 available staffed beds plus four ICU beds in Bismarck: 10 beds plus three ICU at CHI St. Alexius Health and two beds plus one ICU at Sanford Health.

The messaging is really tricky on this. A lot of the early guidance focused so heavily on hand-washing that it almost crowded out guidance on keeping space between people, which is the complete opposite of what the messaging should have been. How you explain to people that this primarily spreads through the air but washing your hands is also a good idea is challenging in a world where the public seems to have lived their lives having no idea what a respiratory disease is or how they work.

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If kids are sneezing into their hands and picking their noses and doing other standard kid things, I imagine smear transmission is a bit more effective.

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Yeah, adults do none of that. And remember, kids <16yrs spread at 25% - 50% of adults

If people are sneezing into their hands and picking their noses and doing other standard things, I imagine smear transmission is a bit more effective.

Not sure how you managed to read that into my post.

And remember, kids <16yrs spread at 25% - 50% of adults

This is consistent with smear transmission being a secondary means of spreading.

The French government is imposing a curfew on two-thirds of the country - 46 million people - from Friday night for six weeks, after a record 41,622 new coronavirus infections in one day.

Those studies are suspect from contract tracing. Do they take into account the # of opportunities to cause spread? Studies that focus directly on ability to infect do not seem to distinguish.

Kids don’t go to bars or rarely set the agenda.

Also 50-% of a lot is still a lot. Absolute numbers matter more than relative spread.

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welp covid made it into my family finally, my sisters mother in law pozzed yesterday and was with my sister and her family at her kids sports game on sunday so now they are quarantining.

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Oof sorry dude. I hope everyone gets over it easily.

only MIL pozz for now, i dunno if the game was inside or outside but apparently she sat right next to my sister for the game though sigh.

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oh, sister. Not Bro. Not that I’d wish it on Bro but would love him to thread it, should it ever happen, which I hope it doesn’t.

Best of wishes to Sister MIL

Have we heard from @anon24898493 recently?? OK bud?

I’m alive and close to 100%.

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https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1319718369206075392?s=20

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