COVID-19: Chapter 6 - ThanksGRAVING

Yeah the WHO study has the limitation that all the trial participants were people who were already very sick, like hospitalised. Remdesivir is still likely to be helpful if administered when symptoms are mild. The problem is, administering it to everyone with mild symptoms, most of whom will just recover anyway, would dilute any benefits and come at enormous cost, from what I understand this stuff is non-trivial to make. That’s money better spent elsewhere with a moderate benefit spread across a large population, not to mention this drug can have serious side effects.

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I don’t think a small hepa unit would hurt. If nothing else it gets the air moving.

I think this is the one we have for a small bedroom.

https://www.amazon.com/gp/aw/d/B073WJDQMN?pf_rd_p=a0de36ed-fbca-4567-b355-7a021be5a3fe&aaxitk=R2w5lHbZOkqmUxAKBXf.ug&hsa_cr_id=9216222890901&ref_=sbx_be_s_sparkle_tcm_asin_0

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Jesus

Critical week for COVID-watching. Wisconsin’s back-data was added yesterday, and now the w/w 7DMA was up 8,000 as of yesterday.

New peak in North Dakota of >1,000 cases today, which is insane for a state with 700,000 people. The entire midwest looks awful.

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Montana and the Dakotas are getting absolutely crushed. Here are their 7dma of cases over time:

South Dakota
August 15th: 94
October 19th: 702

North Dakota
August 15th: 133
October 19th: 700

Montana
August 15th: 110
October 19th: 609

That seems like it might be a preview of coming attractions in larger states as we move into late fall/winter.

Colorado too.

NH will be joining the list soon. Numbers are steadily increasing since school openings and YOLO and no apparent appetite to take this seriously.

Are you reporting in USA usual of cases per million or ROW at per 100,000? TIA

Germany has recorded 84 Covid-19 cases per 100,000 people in total over the past 14 days, according to the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control.

This compares to rates of 159 for Italy, 339 for the UK, 427 for France and 343 for Spain.

But the local infection rate in Berchtesgadener Land, part of the state of Bavaria, has hit 273 per 100,000 over the past week, which is why the fresh lockdown - being called a “circuit breaker” - has been imposed.

Let’s look at some 7-day average positivity rates by state:

State Positivity (7-Day Avg)
Nevada 45.97%
South Dakota 37.19%
Idaho 28.69%
Wyoming 21.29%
Iowa 20.86%
Kansas 19.40%
Nebraska 18.18%
Mississippi 17.73%
Alabama 16.29%
Utah 15.12%

That is just raw cases. Those states all have populations in the 700,000-1,000,000 range.

Holy shit.

For reference, Cuomo was locking zip codes for 5% pozz rate (with a state target of 1%, I believe). These states are insane.

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FORTY-SIX percent?!

OMFG what?

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The ancient RWNJ male nurse who relieves my wife and does nothing all night on 3rd shift went to a restaurant with his two (also elderly and at risk) brothers both of whom are now pozzed. One is in the ICU and the other is a textbook mild case at least so far.

I’d be more worried about her in this spot if they spent any time working together, if masks weren’t worn by everyone, and if he actually did any work or interacted with any patients. None of these things are true according to my wife, and I’m not super worried. He’s also tested negative, so it’s very likely he just dodged the bullet somehow.

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I agree with you that NH is definitely on an upward trend in cases, but we’re not in as bad of a situation as most states. The positive rate on a test is still just 1% (it would be lower than that with the UNH testing data).

North Dakota for example is over 10%.

We should do better. But we’re in a much better spot than almost all other states.

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https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1318604903888130048?s=20

the fucking campaign appearances

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I really don’t care, do u?

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Dwarfs the Czech Republic’s 28% rate

Speaking of the CR, 13K new cases for the day is not out of the question. Got nearly 7,000 before 6:30 pm

Minister of Health says that the worst has yet to come

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Merry Fucking Christmas

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It seemed way too high to me so I found this article that says

There are typically two versions of the rate that are reported — a daily number that shows the rate for that specific day and a moving average that uses several days’ worth of numbers to smooth out inconsistencies in reporting. Some use a seven-day average but Nevada now uses a 14-day average. The World Health Organization recommends a positivity rate of 5% or less for 14 straight days prior to reopening.

Nevada’s 14-day average positivity rate stood at 8.4% as of Oct.15. The rate has seen a steady increase since falling to 6.5% on Sept. 18. The state peaked at 14.6% in April.

Washoe County’s 14-day positivity rate was at 8.2%.

There’s a bit in there about jumps in cases in age groups that might be the source of the almost 47%

Meanwhile, two age groups saw notable increases in coronavirus cases. The age 30 to 39 demographic saw the biggest jump from 75 to 110 — a 47% increase. The other demographic to see a jump involves those ages 50 to 59. Cases within that age group rose by 40% from 71 about two weeks ago to 100 in the last week.