Tomorrow will be three weeks since Florida lifted all restrictions so we should start seeing the impact of that anytime now.
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So my hospital ICUs are beyond our winter surge capacity already. It’s like the worst ive ever seen if you don’t count last spring for covid. Oddly, our covid census has been stable for a month. If we get a covid surge we are fucked.
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Nationally, we’re looking at a complete disaster by election day if we don’t make big changes.
So complete disaster it is.
I can’t even get angry, just sad.
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Does complete disaster mean the vast majority of the country is going to continue going about their business as if nothing is happening?
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I actually do think there is a breaking point where people will self modify behavior. I don’t think we are close to that yet but something like 100,000/2,000+ a day and multiple hospital systems overflowing would get people’s attention. Hopefully we don’t get there but it is certainly possible.
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changes will happen eventually, but they won’t take effect for 2-4 weeks while more people will die.
Data is terrifying right now.
Maybe you’re right, but I just don’t see it. 99.9% survival rate is canon now. People just don’t care if they catch it or spread it. I feel like we’re the only ones watching the numbers, everyone else is busy at the game.
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We are going to cruise well past 60,000 new cases today (Worldometers) . Breaking the all time record of 78,xxx before election day is the lock of all locks. We might hit 100,000 in a day before the election.
It’s really bad news for all of us. The one silver lining is that it can’t possibly help Trump.
In other words, summer did help a lot - it just looked like it didn’t help all that much because COVID-19 is THAT fucking horrible.
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I don’t see how we avoid 100K cases a day by mid-December, and I would expect to see it way sooner.
Pretty much. The west squandered their best chance to get it under control in exchange for indoor dining, haircuts and bars. I’m starting to think Covid didn’t look as bad as we thought because we mostly only experienced it in Spring/Summer. If Winter is peak transmission and effect for Covid we are totally fucked starting at a baseline of 50,000+ cases a day.
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People are not going to break because half of Facebook is just casually asserting that the reported numbers are lies.
I have spent the last 30 minutes arguing with someone saying, “If you look at CDC death stats, 2020 is completely in line with the last several years.” As someone who’s spent roughly infinite time looking at CDC stats, I was like WTF? So I posted a quick graph to show how obviously wrong that was:
And her fucking response was to post this:
Yes, you dipshit, if you ignore the months that people were dying of COVID, 2020 deaths do look quite normal.
I keep responding to these people as if basic facts will matter. I’m never going to learn that they just completely ignore shit that doesn’t fit their narrative. It is utterly infuriating.
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We are at 47,000 new cases today with 18/50 states yet to report including the two biggest ones, California and Texas.
Yup, I’m basically hoping to get a few more profitable poker sessions in and be lucky enough not to get pozzed in the first few weeks of it getting really bad until everyone freaks out and shuts back down. Hopefully it doesn’t get crazy bad until at least late November. Then hopefully we get CARES 2 and online poker goes back to being good.
I feel almost calm about my preparations at this point, even though I should probably have more stockpiled. I’m just growing accustomed to the whole process. I need to take inventory this week and make sure I have enough of everything and then really load up next week. I may stock up on beer, wine and liquor too - enough to get through to like late March. That stuff is a lot harder to get curbside, and I don’t expect grocery delivery to be unattainable for more than a month at a time, if that.
I completely agree that subset is lost forever. There is a large group of people though who have let their guard completely down because of boredom or peer pressure or whatever who are likely still persuadable though.
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I also think I’m going to get a medical marijuana card ASAP and try to stockpile. It means I can’t get a gun, but weed seems better than a gun for what is coming.
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Obviously I highly recommend getting a MMJ card. If your state is like here you can do it 100% over the phone or internet.
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And people don’t see that even if the survival rate were really 99.9% (it’s not), letting that drop to 99.5% or something because hospitals can’t take everybody and are forced to just send tons of people home with the “yeah maybe you’ll get better good luck!” pat on the back, like in April, that’s a huge fucking tragedy. Instead they’d just say “eh practically everybody still lives!”
One of the great pleasures I get in life right now is making people wait on the next elevator at my apartment if they don’t have masks on. Fuck em.
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Czech Republic’s gonna blow right by 10K new cases today.
Halfway through the day there were 5.5K new ones.