COVID-19: Chapter 5 - BACK TO SCHOOL

That’s been happening for months, brother.

I did some preliminary checking of county level stats (full measurement periods not available yet) and whoa something weird is going on in Texas. Over the past couple of weeks, places that had huge amounts of cases are very low and places that had a decent amount of cases have exploded. I don’t believe either version is reality. I think it suggests a severe test results lag (2 weeks maybe more) where they just shove large amounts of data in whenever they feel like it.

In a revolutionary strategy, Trump has figured out that if there are fewer people alive, cases will naturally start to drop. If you test everyone, you get more cases. But if there are fewer people alive!

Hydoxychloroquine, an anti-malarial drug also promoted by Brazilian president Jair Bolsanaro, has no impact on coronavirus mortality rates, concluded French scientists. But when patients were treated with the drug as well as with the antibiotic azithromycin, which Mr Trump had also recommended, rate of death rose by more than a quarter, the study found.

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Update.

Mrs Rugbys aunt is now out of hospital and back at home.

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India likely had the better, original variant of the virus

We got the mutated one from Italy and now that has made its way back to SE Asia but I’m not sure if it’s prevalent in India yet. If so, the numbers will get worse for India.

My team added some devs in India in early March and weren’t allowed to go into the office even once to get company computer as of late April, so yeah they locked down harder and earlier than we did.

My Chinese team didn’t leave their home starting in mid-late January and they weren’t even in Wuhan or Hubei province.

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People lock down first time because they don’t want deaths.

Then deaths are normalized so people are fine being open for business/school even tho there are 20x cases.

Slow pony…

Here’s a comparison trajectory of the U.S. and India’s cases. The info is from worldometers.

U.S.:

March 27: 100k
April 27: 1m
June 7: 2m
July 6: 3m
July 21: 4m
August 6: 5m
August 26: 6m

India:

May 18: 100k
July 16: 1m
August 6: 2m
August 22: 3m
August 26: 3.3m

They’re currently on a much worse trajectory than us but I’m fairly certain we’re about to go back into hold my beer territory.

Yeah, India’s got 4x the population and many US citizens might describe it as a little more third world than the US (apples vs mangos)

China might be a more relevant comparison

Basically.

The major problem in the Czech Republic regarding covid is that they’re dividing covid cases into two areas: dead and recovered. If you look at the numbers and see that out of 16,090 covid patients under 55, just 11 of them died then you think it’s nothing.

But what they and nobody else focuses on are the patients that survived with long-term permanent disablities because of covid. You never hear about what they’re dealing with because as far as everybody’s concerned, you’re healed and you beat it. It’s literally never on the news.

Unfortunately, I cannot go into school expressing these thoughts. These schools are opening no matter what and the students have to be there. If I talk about how fucked up things are, it’ll demoralize the students. I just have to wear my mask, keep them distant and share the “Don’t Touch Me” song from Cartoon Planet on Google Classroom.

I was led to believe exposed people don’t matter anymore. Only those with symptoms.

Hurricanes last a few hours/days

Pandemic lasts months/years

The numbers are meaningless unless the testing levels are similar.

And China’s numbers are a joke. I’ve got some cryptocurrency investments for you if you actually think they’ve only had 85k cases.

In other words, in some places COVID-19 is like a category 5 hurricane lasting months (or longer) instead of just going away after hours to days. I’m actually going to mock up my list maybe tonight of what level each place would fall under. People in this country generally need a strong easy to understand visual to get what’s going on. I don’t know if I’m going to make a graphic yet, but maybe I should. It might work just as well at the map level.

One other thing of note/interest is I think there have been 4 named storms that have hit the mainland U.S. since the pandemic began. I never looked at the storm track and cases a few weeks later to see if they reduced or rose. I’m fairly sure the first one that hit the Gulf Coast, if I remember correctly, did have a rise in the couple of weeks following. Nothing seemed to change after the east coast one that I can remember.

Mask use is like 10% which isn’t that big a deal because there’s no covid in the community in any of these cities and none of them are hub cities either. As Victoria showed us though, there’s no covid until there is.

I’ve been wondering how long mask use will continue after the virus is gone. Seems like not very long!

What’s it like living in a place that has no covid in the community? It’s honestly hard to imagine from over here in USA#132.

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Chinese numbers are off but they definitely have it under control way better than any other large country. We have friends in a lot of the major cities and outbreaks are rare and contained rapidly. Helps that mask compliance is 100÷ and they literally shut down buildings/neighbourhoods the moment there is a positive case. And shutdown means stay indoors and get what you need delivered to your house/building until everyone is tested.

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