COVID-19: Chapter 5 - BACK TO SCHOOL

I guess your right. At the same time how many external resources are focusing on India? I feel like everyone is focused on the shitshow that is America. Still if things were super out of control there would still be some sounding the alarm.

If it isn’t that bad… how? I was expecting India to have the most deaths BY FAR simply because of their situation. I hope they really aren’t doing that bad.

I just looked at their numbers, here: Coronavirus Dashboard

worldometers is probably still reliable though I never check them.

Here’s a third option: https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en/world

I was wrong about India being 3rd in deaths, they’re actually 4th behind Mexico by a couple of thousand (they are not in reality obviously). Mexico got off to a really bad start (were having stadium soccer matches after we were knee deep in it already) and India got off to a later start than most of the world, so it’s more that they’re on a lag. With China as the only exception, I believe all the highest population countries in the world will end up as the highest case totals. Even as far as Florida and Texas lagged behind, they still took their rightful positions in the top 4 eventually. India will probably ultimately pass us in cases but it won’t be any time soon.

The authoritarian leaders are suppressing their death stats and virus stats to the highest point they feel they can get away with (more evident in the death stats). If every person in a neighborhood has it, the authoritarian can’t hide it which is why Putin’s cases and deaths went up back when they were very low at the beginning. I shudder to think of what’s really going on in Brazil because of how their leader is and how bad the numbers look. They’re seriously giving the U.S. a run for its money with a significantly lower population.

The biggest suppression in the authoritarian countries is deaths. You’ll notice they’re rolling very near the ‘projected’ eventual death rate of 0.6 to 1.3%. Anyone that got off to a late start with lockdowns has very high death rates. I remember India doing a severe lockdown pretty early which probably helped them on their death rate but the conditions there are definitely not good for reducing spread even under an extreme lockdown.

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Three of the four worst days wrt new cases in the Czech Republic have come in the last 6 days. Two of those six were weekends which is when they process less than 25% of the tests they normally do.

Still gonna be completely open for school though!

There is concern about a rising number of coronavirus cases in Gibraltar ahead of a decision later today on UK quarantine restrictions.

At least one part of the UK is expected to require people arriving from the British Overseas Territory to self-isolate for two weeks.

But the issue has been described as a “sticking point” because of diplomatic concerns.

It is also understood there is discussion about requiring people arriving from Jamaica and the Czech Republic to quarantine. The rest of the UK could also follow Scotland and require isolation on arrival from Switzerland too.

Cuba is among the countries where there has been a decline in case numbers – and it is possible it could be added to the quarantine exemption list.

The UK considers imposing quarantine conditions when a country’s rate of infection exceeds 20 cases per 100,000 people over seven days.

Prague has been nearly double that for quite a while now. The vast majority in the CR lives in area with a higher rate than that. UK is far behind.


What’s most infuriating is watching politicians and people who work for the government like statisticians and scientists claiming that the virus is weakening and is thus no longer a problem. One statistcian who works for the government literally compared it to the flu.

Just amazing because of how well it was handled here earlier. The second wave here is much worse than the first but we should be more at ease and open the schools? Absurd.

Have any of you parents sent your toddlers back to daycare yet? Thought on how that is going? My parents and/or I have been taking my sisters two and half year old daughter during the day M-F since May 1st. Her daycare reopened July 15th but we’ve held out on sending her back. It’s getting to be very stressful on my parents though as its 2hrs of driving every day (30 mins there and back in the am and in the afternoon) and having a toddler isn’t exactly easy on a 64 and 70 year old.

None of us want her back in daycare, but we all know it would be a massive help. Ughhhh

UK Helath Officials claim most school related covid will be indirect transmission e.g. more worried about teachers giving it to teachers, increase in non-medical workplace related infection as parents more free to return to workplace, Mum’s (Mom’s) chatting at the school gates and calling into retail on way back from drop off.

Agreed definately more risky strategy in countries experiencing 2nd wave - which includes most of Europe currently!

I teach at a high school and nearly all of my students are 17-19. They pretty much have the same immune system that an adult would.

Anyway, I’m finishing my summer job during the first week school opens here. So it’s possible that the school goes into quarantine before I even get there.

Israel is a good example of a country that had things (relatively) sorted out but let kids go to school too early and it picked up fast shortly afterwards. I expect the same in CR.

Sounds like CZ’s already picking up fast without the schools open

That’s one country from what, 40? You’d need most non-essential stuff shut to measure the impact of reopening schools accurately. I think of schools as under 16yrs but most relevant is under 11yrs for my family setup. 17-18yrs is very different as you state.

https://twitter.com/grantshapps/status/1299013767154536449?s=20

https://ktiv.com/2020/08/27/watch-live-gov-reynolds-holds-news-conference-2/

Traced back to colleges being OFS, yltsi

Mrs. Tilted’s school is going swimmingly. This is week 2 and they are already almost at the breaking point of canceling in person due to the sheer number of people exposed or with symptoms.

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And where is the news on all of this? The reporting on Hurricane Laura is breathless on The Weather Channel.

Death toll, so far: 3

I really wish I knew why so much of the American public can so easily and clearly understand the threat of hurricanes yet can nearly completely ignore a pandemic that makes a major hurricane look like a single drip from your bathroom faucet. I don’t even want to think of what this country is going to look like by mid-October on a number of levels.

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hurricanes are visually compelling though

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Maybe they should be doing hurricane type animations for COVID-19 showing how hot spots form and where they’re moving. That would be quite horrifying. Unlike hurricanes that move on land and dissipate, COVID-19 moves on land and blows up. They could even create a scale:

L-low pressure (places like Vermont)
TD-Tropical Depression (places like North Dakota)
TS-Tropical Storm (places like South Dakota)
Category 1 Hurricane-places like Nebraska, New Jersey, Massachusetts
Category 2 Hurricane-places like current New York
Category 3 Hurricane-places like North Carolina
Category 4 Hurricane-places like Georgia
Category 5 Hurricane-places like California, Texas, and Florida (NY, NJ of the past)

https://twitter.com/georebekah/status/1299037417182289925?s=21

Should start to see national case numbers start back up soon.

niccageyoudontsay.jpg

Same with my wife’s district. They announced their plan a couple of weeks ago - hybrid, with fully online option available, two week delay of school year to allow for teachers and staff to get setup. Within the last couple of days, they moved to all online for middle and high school, still hybrid for elementary, and in-person for special needs/special education students.

Parents aren’t happy with the online option (I think it’s outsourced, so they claim lower quality instruction). She doesn’t know which building she’ll be working at. We’ll see what happens, as always, in the next couple of weeks. This is a very good school district in a wealthy, blue Boston suburb.

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Sounds like that whole cheer for Trump or we’ll take away your season tickets thing from last year.