COVID-19: Chapter 5 - BACK TO SCHOOL

https://twitter.com/GwenGraham/status/1294326011530809345

Looked at translations of interviews of the vice-chairman and chairman of the teacher’s union in the Czech Republic and reading between the lines, they are very much not pleased with what’s going on. They’ve had no communication with the Ministry of Education on what the plan for school is and there’s only two weeks until the school year starts. With everybody but the MoE out of the loop, it’s clear that they are aware that their plan for opening is shitty and unsafe. They chose to share it late because they figure that schools won’t have enough time to adjust their plans to make things safer up to and including school closures. On top of that, the government has done nothing to prepare these schools for any kind of distance education in case of an outbreak.

I wouldn’t be surprised if the teacher’s union announces a strike before the school year begins even if it’s just a temporary move to allow schools more time to set their schools up rather than a negotiation demanding better work conditions during covid.

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Already happening in the states.

A teachers’ strike closed down a school district in Arizona that was set to begin classes on Monday.
A school district outside Phoenix has canceled its plans to reopen schools next week after teachers staged a “sick out” in protest.

“We have received a high volume of staff absences for Monday citing health and safety concerns,” Gregory A. Wyman, the superintendent of the J.O. Combs Unified School District, said in a letter to families posted online Friday.
The “overwhelming response” from staff has hamstrung plans to begin the semester, and the district “cannot yet confirm when in-person instruction may resume,” Mr. Wyman said. Virtual classes were also canceled for the time being, though breakfasts and lunches will be available for pickup.

The J.O. Combs school district, which includes seven schools, according to its website, had moved forward with a plan to reopen despite falling short of benchmarks that the Arizona Department of Health Services had said must be met before in-person instruction resumed.

While new cases have fallen sharply in Arizona since a peak in July, according to data compiled by The New York Times, state information released on Thursday shows that no county in the Phoenix metropolitan area has met all the benchmarks necessary for in-person learning.

The staff rebellion against the early opening comes after some schools in other parts of the country have struggled to safely open and enforce precautionary behavior among students.

A suburban county outside Atlanta was forced to quarantine nearly 1,200 students and staff members this week after a wave of infections tore through the county’s schools.

reporting from nytimes

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There’s only the one. They probably mean no county in AZ.

https://twitter.com/ASlavitt/status/1294654256763609090

F***ing finally a saliva test.

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In case anyone was wondering, it’s not just the South that is filled with morans

https://www.nbcconnecticut.com/news/local/ct-group-files-appeal-seeking-elimination-of-school-mask-requirement/2319019/

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But won’t this make the cases go up?

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https://amp.newsobserver.com/news/local/article244967200.html?__twitter_impression=true

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I’m old enough to remember something like March when Liberty University said ‘f COVID’ and forced its students back to dorms. Within a short period of time, there was a significant outbreak. I really have no idea what campuses are thinking when there is a ton of evidence that says group living of dirty late teen/early 20s people with many high risk behaviors will result in outbreaks. Oh wait, money, it’s money.

I got into a stupid argument with a random redditor–seems like a Trumper but is actually a Yangbanger, I suspect some weird libertarian overlap in these groups. The argument was on July 3rd and concerned the coronavirus death total. I told him to wait eight weeks.

He popped back into the conversation today to dunk on me.

He’s dunking that people are only dying at an annual rate of 300,000 to 400,000 instead of 450,000 to 600,000. Big win there fella. Glad it’s the lower number but that like bragging your ERA is only 8 instead of 10. It still sucks.

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That’s what I said.

Also, he doesn’t even have a legitimate dunk. His original position was so absurd that the current death rate is a “win” for me.

It’s basically impossible to ever know for sure whether we are right about anything, but I know for sure that some people are wrong!

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It seems like we have hit a bit of a plateau in the data over the past 10 days or so after a 20% case pullback. Is this basically our OFB w/masks steady state at this point or are we expecting it to continue to trend down more? Or up as schools get cranking?

My personal take is we trend down to maybe 40-45k/day 7dma before we start to see the effects of OFS rear their ugly head which sends us to all time new case highs. I am not basing that on anything other than what we roughly know about the virus. My guess is mask mandates are getting us some gains right now. School will wipe that out and then some.

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What’s weird is Texas moving up to 24% positive even with masks and bars closing. Restaurants still open tho, but I would have thought it’d be lower by now. I guess churches are still open, too?

Very good thread calling bullshit on the SEC expert.

https://twitter.com/zbinney_nflinj/status/1294734860603592704?s=21

The way they talk about being able to treat myocarditis makes Danspartan…

image

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Testing is way down which means only the sickest get tests.

OU planning on have fans in the stands last I heard.

Anyone know when 200k official deaths is estimated to happen? A week or two before 11/3?

At the current rate that will happen in the middle of September.

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