My hospital is tightening up testing criteria again. We were testing everyone who was admitted, now we are going back to symptomatic people and those going to surgery. There aren’t enough testing reagents to do wide spread testing. 6 months of this shit and we still haven’t figured out the basics.
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Has there been any good analysis on the Florida leveling off/decline? Is it because of lowered testing or are the members actually heading in the right direction for good reasons?
Their positivity rate has stayed steady and their testing rate has declined. They also shut down most of their testing locations for a week (LOL) for the tropical storm.
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Other than Mississippi, which is a complete shit show, it looks like near-term forward-looking deaths are going to be somewhere in the range of 1.5%-2% of new cases.
TX is basically in the same spot, other than having their positive rate go up, while every other state has dropped into a decline.
Meanwhile, the US isn’t even #1 in North America for fucking up the response to the covid catastrophe. Things are much worse across la linea. Of course, lol @ official MX stats even in the best of times.
Then we have this crap: US deporting covid along with asylum seekers. There is a large number of Haitians effectively stuck in Tijuana in extreme poverty applying for asylum. If they try to cross, this happens…
“Those people, they literally came because they had no other option and then they got deported immediately,” Jozef said. “The people who are being deported are asylum-seekers. Those who are running for their lives are literally being sent back to [Haiti to] get killed.”
Included on these deportation flights, which have been ongoing since March, have been Haitians who have tested positive for the coronavirus. Jozef said that some of Haiti’s early cases were linked to the flights.
Border Report: Surviving in Tijuana Has Gotten Even Harder for Haitian Migrants | Voice of San Diego
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from 7/20
Wife starting to feel sick, going to go get tested today. Wonderful.
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California finally admitting that the data are fucked up and have been for some time now.
Anyone paying attention could have seen that stuff was off since mid July.
I hadn’t been watching the hospitalization numbers, however, and they tell a more encouraging story.
These are confirmed or suspected cases, so it’s not necessarily limited (or as limited) by the testing shenanigans. So, if that’s reflective of the case load at large, then it looks like the re-enacted partial lockdown measures have at least stabilized things, and we may even be over the hump.
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I wouldn’t be surprised if a bunch of countries in Europe and states in America have messed up data.
For example, I’m calling bullshit on the hospitalization data in the Czech Republic.
23 July = 3,102 active cases, 96 hospitalizations (21 critical)
4 August = 5,091 active cases, 123 hospitalizations (19 critical)
A decrease in patients in critical condition and a 20% decrease in the percentage of active cases that require hospitalization? This is despite a nearly 200% increase in active cases. Honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if covid patients with comorbid conditions are being marked as admitted for non-covid reasons to keep the numbers low.
About 10 days ago, they “audited” the number of active cases and dropped it by about 25%. Since then, we’ve made up that 25% and then some.
Also, we had 290 new cases yesterday. That’s the most in a day since June 28th and the 7th most overall.
One thing that seems to becoming very obvious in this downtrend of cases is that certain states just aren’t testing really anymore like they were a couple of weeks ago at “the peak”. Alabama only did around 5,000 tests yesterday to get their 952 cases from today. Sure it looks great that they have less cases per day but when your positivity is 19% you aren’t testing enough by definition.
A real downtrend in cases would see positivity rates declining. We don’t see that really in many of these red states.
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It does seem real in SC. Cases and tests are down but positive rate isn’t increasing. Hospitalizations are down too. Anecdotally testing centers don’t have lines anymore like they did a few weeks ago
Is the positive rate decreasing though? You would expect it to if prevalence was going down. SC seems like they might be making real progress to me.
We haven’t seen the decline from the tropical storm shut down since results are delayed multiple days. Do we know how many days on average it’s taking to get test results back now?
I think we might be seeing the start of it the past few days. That or there may be another reason why they qre processing less tests.
I think anytime the positive rate is north of 10% any guess as to what is actually going on is pure speculation, though we can be 100% certain that the bias is towards undercounting 100% of the time.
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This will happen a lot. Schools will last max 2 weeks before shutting down.
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Marginally. Positive percent crept as high as 21-22%, has been 15-18% recently
If your testing is the same or less and your positivity rate is declining that seems like real progress.
Florida reporting 5,495 new cases and 225 new deaths. (These numbers are from the FL Department of Health. Not sure why Miami Herald is reporting fewer new cases.)
FLORIDA PASSES 500,000 MARK AS THE STATE ADDS MORE THAN 5,400 NEW CORONAVIRUS CASES
11:45 a.m.: Florida’s Department of Health on Wednesday confirmed 5,409 additional cases of COVID-19, pushing the state’s known total past 500,000. The state now has 502,739 confirmed cases.
There were also 225 Florida resident deaths announced, bringing the statewide resident death toll to 7,627. There were no new non-resident deaths, leaving the non-resident death toll at 124.
https://www.miamiherald.com/news/coronavirus/article244736822.html