COVID-19: Chapter 5 - BACK TO SCHOOL

Hmm. Yeah, maybe you could buy one of those single room ACs on amazon. My friend had one and it kicked ass. Just return it to amazon after they leave, pretty sure they have a 30 day return policy lol.

I believe there are studies on there on the HEPA filters and they show that they work well. Pretty sure some have been posted ITT. But of course I’d do my own research on that.

Dunno if it’s the same product, but villian1’s company makes mold killer.

Update from my friend who is an ICU nurse here in the Phoenix area. I’m glad we’ve essentially nothing to mitigate this.

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87 deaths reported on a Sunday seems really bad. Last Sunday it was 45.

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I would t read too much into any variance in red state reporting.

Meanwhile in Japan, they’re going ahead with the July tournament, only allowing in 1/4 the usuall number of fans. Seems like a bad idea but they’re desperate for money so ¯_(ツ)_/¯.

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Any sharp action on this?

https://www.wmbfnews.com/2020/07/19/players-plead-with-nfl-address-health-safety-concerns/

Roger fukking it all up. Who woulda thunk it?

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Pretty sure he uses covidtracking.com/data

Also pretty sure JHU is a bit behind everyone which is the main reason I don’t use it. The negative to covidtracking is it doesn’t get down to the county level.

I generally use 1point3acres for a snapshot (their data varies from other places) but it does have county level data and possibly the most accurate data for ‘active’ cases.

That’s a good idea. I think you can get a single room A/C with HEPA filters. Not sure if I could get one in time, but if it’s going to be a multi-day thing, I can try to pick one up from a WalMart or something.

Thanks, I’ll reach out! Looks like their site has removed all mentions of COVID-19 though.

Hakuho is basically a lock to win it.

Hot take: Massachusetts is buried again in 4-6 weeks.

Luke warm. We’re already clearly trending back up.

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They’re probably going to start really heating up around July 29 based on SDI. Could be as early as the 22nd. They had their first case rise other than one reporting aberration starting 7/1-7/7 (very small) for the first time in 9 measurement periods, and continued to tick up 7/8-7/14. Their SDI was 7 points below target guess for the period of 7/8-7/14. That indicates a surge is coming based on my non-scientific approach. How long that surge will be depends on how long their SDI is in that area.

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Interestingly I popped over to the board of Trumpers and the majority of them are now saying to wear a mask. last I checked a few weeks ago the virus was a hoax and masks were gay.

A good sign, although being on a forum these are probably in the top 5% of Trump supporters intelligence wise, still dumb as shit though obviously. But I expect mask wearing is going to start going up.

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That shouldn’t matter a ton when doing 7dma tho

They post the day’s data around 4pm PT and make no changes after that drop. That means if reporting came in late it shifts to the next day and can mean lower totals on the day of where that happens than other places that drop data in a more real time way as they find it.

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I had been using covidtracking before, but I like the county level data in JHU, plus the fact that it’s got population attached to make it easier to do per capita numbers.

But the real reason is that it lets me do county-level mapping of any variable I want. Like this:

I mean, there’s only so many ways to look at this and come to the same conclusion that the South is headed for trouble.

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At least they are distancing I guess?

https://www.wftv.com/news/trending/anti-mask-protesters-rally-ohio-statehouse/GOCKMYUSSFBYLIR6B7QWTOUGAM/

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I think it all comes down to timeliness. The later the data comes in, the more accurate it will probably be. I like covidtracking for its timeliness (though it is behind) and consistency of data. I saw major issues inside of 1point3acres where they were constantly adjusting the previous day’s numbers in various states after that day had passed. That makes anyone compiling the data manually miss that stuff. The data needs to be static once the day’s passed and I’m assuming that’s what JHU does. I’ve still found their reporting has been consistently much lower by day than everywhere else, unless that’s changed recently.

I think you’d like the UMD website for the same reasons you mentioned above, but it’s on an even bigger lag than JHU (2-6 days depending on the day).