COVID-19: Chapter 5 - BACK TO SCHOOL

Well you asked me if I thought Trump was trying to ramp it up to change the death rate. That’s a no if he’s cutting funding.

I think testing is likely to keep ramping up due to market demand and the work of the private sector and states. I don’t think we’ll get anywhere near what we need anytime soon to broadly reopen responsibly behind testing and tracing. We need like 10M tests per day, turned around quickly.

So to recap:

No, Trump isn’t going for more testing.

Yes, testing is ramping up.

But we’re still nowhere near what we need.

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Based on something I heard from some doctor months ago, he said 5 million tests per day will happen somewhere around never. There’s absolutely no way there’s test analysis capacity for that. I think it’s currently maxed at around 850k, but just read this article about pool testing being authorized by the FDA:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/pooled-testing-okayed-in-us-as-way-of-boosting-covid-detection/ar-BB16Uh1i?li=BBnb7Kz

In the article Birx (lol) appears to claim with pool testing you can get up to 5 million tested per day up from 500k a day.

Deleted a reply that was getting far too off-topic here. Let’s just leave it with I agree that things are bad, and I hope you’re wrong :)

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If anyone wants to get freaked out about airborne viruses, the TPWKY episode on measles is pretty wild:

https://thispodcastwillkillyou.com/2019/03/05/episode-21-measles-the-worst-souvenir/

At full employment we have like 160M people. To test everyone once every two weeks requires 11M tests per day.

That’s before counting kids, mass screening at big gatherings, etc.

I think it’s highly likely you’re going to look right at least on the surface, but also that you’re underestimating the risk. Cuse’s posts might seem hyperbolic because they’re written as if something is likely that is actually unlikely --this isn’t meant as a callout–but they’re not out of line when considering the consequences of the worst case scenarios.

I’m fully onboard with JT going to Canada and pretty much anyone who can getting out of dodge because I’d rather be chilling somewhere that is slightly less preferable to me that being in the US and laughing “oops, guess I was wrong” when Biden wins and everyone is let out of prison and given UBI and paid parental leave and health care and snow and pierogis and shit than have to live through the Trump Reich here.

Figuring out the exact odds is difficult and our interpretations are likely to differ here but it’s higher than 1% and I think my lifetime chances of an actual lengthy prison sentence have gone up significantly in the last few years.

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I’d love to be wrong, too. The line probably stops way before me, but keep in mind their research on ideas is often Kush joining a FB group and asking questions. Who the fuck knows how they’ll decide? I will say anyone still out protesting is brave as fuck, and anyone doing so without a mask is a total moron. Not just for COVID, for privacy.

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Somebody say super spreader event?

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I think you’re referring to something that doesn’t exist yet. It’s more important to get something that can be mass tested and not invasive, but we don’t have that yet. I have no idea how long that will take, but seem to remember seeing video from either China or South Korea where passengers from out of country were able to take a saliva test that returned results in 15 minutes. That was probably at least 2 months ago, and I wonder why we don’t have something like that yet.

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Apparently Maryland Live reopened poker with 32 tables running right now… MGM National Harbor with 22.

Lol GJGE Maryland.

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Cuse,

This thread might make you feel better.

https://mobile.twitter.com/Teri_Kanefield/status/1284563716130787328

Especially this part.

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We haven’t sent our 13-year-old to gymnastics since the shutdowns started in March. Of course, being in Georgia, the gym reopened basically as soon as Kemp gave the green light. We were thinking we would maybe let her go back when the school year started while doing school virtually, since it is easier to socially distance than in other sports and management detailed the precautions they are taking.

A teammate of hers called her tonight and said all but two of the girls on one of the upper-level teams have been diagnosed with COVID. It’s not my kid’s team, but man.

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Ehhh, not really. I’m less worried about a coup and more worried about throwing protesters in camps.

4-5 max or full? Somebody from MD itt recently posted how the south was getting all the bad press, but MD was trending hard in the wrong direction.

I’m not sure, not my neck of the woods anymore. Either seems bad, though.

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But how do you do it on a national scale? Each protester has a family. Like, let’s say you get kidnapped and thrown in a camp. How many family and friends are gonna notice you disappeared? 10? 20? Multiply this by tens of thousands of people. Then think about the logistics of hiding everyone. Where is the water and food going to come from?

Can’t deny. I lol’d.

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Texas is fucked

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A lot farther than this incident in Portland.

I mean, sure, slippery slope and all and the world may be over in 2 years but for FFS Cuse, it actually might not end and things may end up okay. Get a grip of your goddamn self and stop staring at anything square or rectangular for a few months and chill the fuck out. Worst case would be…much better than your wildest negative dreams.

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I’m not talking about hiding it necessarily. What are those friends and family going to do?

They arrest them and throw them in cells/cages/whatever, pending charges. Courts are backed up due to COVID-19 anyway. They charge them with that bullshit 10 year thing, they called Antifa domestic terror already and it’s a loosely defined thing. They can just start charging people with aiding and abetting domestic terror.

When they run out of cells and cages, they build more detention centers. What’s the difference between that and a camp?

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