COVID-19: Chapter 5 - BACK TO SCHOOL

No they’re still trying to have fewer tests done.

What I mean is that if it really is an aerosol virus than the R0 should be way higher that what we’ve been seeing (I’ve posted about this here before). If it spreads by aerosol but only for a small number of “superspreader” carriers, that explains the paradox.

It could mean the six/twelve foot rule isn’t going to be enough. You can’t avoid an aerosol virus by keeping 12 feet away from people.

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I didn’t say because of this site. But also how hard is it to find any of our names? Some probably harder than others. Anyone with the same sn is only as secure as any info attached to their 2p2 account is. How good do you think Mason’s security is?

I’m sure many of us used real names on 2p2 accounts, or the emails we registered with.

Meanwhile I’m sure plenty of us have posted on Twitter, FB, etc, stuff that would get us on lists since being pro BLM or anti police brutality was enough to do that.

That’s failing spectacularly as this week’s test results are:

Today: 761,771
Friday: 851,778
Thursday: 830,918
Wednesday: 756,470
Tuesday: 761,681

The previous week they had a hard time getting above 650k outside of a 1 day aberration.

Right that’s kind of what I was getting at. The small number would be shedding more from their throat, right?

They’re trying to cut finding for testing to $0 Nunn, they don’t want more tests for more cases for a lower death rate. They want to sweep it all under a massive rug.

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Good luck to you, sir. I don’t really think Trump is going to round up hundreds of thousands of dissidents, and I don’t really think you’re going to get rounded up and…executed, or put in a camp or something. I certainly could be wrong though, no crystal ball here. But I wholeheartedly believe we’re still way closer on the spectrum to the land of milk and honey than concentration camps and mass refugee exodus and breakdown of society.

What level of daily tests would convince you they’re trying to flood testing?

This is what I posted on LinkedIn last week. This whole subject is really pissing me off when it gets into the lay press.

Note I’m not saying that exactly what droplet sizes or why certain people or actions generate the most efficient viral spread are not important. They are for ventilation solutions. Maybe for mask materials optimization but for now the simple message is being obscured by the technical debate.

you thought you knew what this was going to say but I’m just letting you think it. Imagine I’m screaming it at the top of my lungs…

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Not sure what you mean. It’s a respiratory virus, everyone is spreading it from their throat, but maybe most people spread it by droplets but a small number of superspreaders are able to produce aerosolized versions of it.

Address what they’re doing in Portland and talking about taking nationwide, then. I’d love to be convinced it’s all going to be okay. Also address the ramp up to crying voter fraud.

If we do get a breakdown of society, do you think it will come in stages where we will have plenty of time to devise an exit plan or will it be sudden and unexpected?

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Well they’d have to want to fund testing above $0 for starters.

Right so my question is why would some be able to aerosolize it but not others? I figured higher viral load but maybe that doesn’t matter?

For me I need to say positivity gets below 5% and stays there. No math, just an intuition number. And that’s 5% in each state/locale not nationally as one significant region of 20% can miss a lot of cases.

No, seriously, give a number that makes you think testing is ramping up undeniably. Don’t use the budget thing.

Right, this too. Historically reacting to these things is like reacting to a pandemic. If you’re not out while most people think you’re crazy to get out, you weren’t out in time.

Most IRL thought I was crazy for stockpiling food in late Feb/early March, for locking down on 3/8, etc. Same concept applies.

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I think that would be hard to get to even on more than 1 million tests per day. Over the last week, we’re averaging between 8.5-9.1% positive.

Yup. Let’s just assume everyone is contagious and everyone is a super spreader. Any policy that does not do this is stupid at this point cause we don’t know who is contagious and we don’t know of those, which folks are superspreaders.

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No idea. That seems like a question the actual experts are going to be investigating for a long time. I’m jut a weirdo who listens to disease podcasts.

I’m sure load matters, but if you can sneeze and an entire room becomes a hot zone for hours after you’ve left the room, you can see how that can defeat social distancing guidelines.

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