Maybe you got that impression other places as well, but you can’t base it on a NotBruceZ post.
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Both 40 and today’s 72 are sandbag totals. It’s deaths from the past few weeks
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Mark Zuckerberg live with Dr. Fauci
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Yes.
I worked with a guy with German parents, and once I got to know him he told me some interesting things about his family that he thought were probably true of many German families, such as all his uncles claiming only very minor roles during the war, which they never talked about lol.
I don’t think that’s true. If the test has a 5% false positive rate and also only 5% of the population actually has the antibodies, then 10 out of every 100 people (assuming a representative sample of people were selected) will test positive for antibodies, 5 of which will actually have the antibodies and 5 which were false positive. That’s where this “50/50” thing being reported is coming from. But on an case-by-case basis, if you test positive there is a 95% chance you actually have the antibodies. (Assuming false negatives are 0)
If this is wrong, please let me know. But I looked into this quite a bit until I thought I had a good understanding of it.
The impression is that only one or two are rooting for the death toll to pass the magic million so they can turn around and say told you so.
ah, I sort of understand that. Kind of macabre.
A common refrain from the more reasonable covidiots I battle out there in the void is that the “maskholes” as they refer to us, are cheering this virus on for a variety of reasons. They say we shoot down good news or downplay it and dramatize and fearmonger the bad news.
Sometimes I read posts here with that rattling around in my head and I see a teensy bit of truth to it. SOMETIMES. That’s where I’m coming from.
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“Sorry, something went wrong” should be their corporate slogan.
I agree, there has sometimes been a hint of that here.
Your math is correct, but your conclusion is not. If you tested positive, all you know is that you’re in that pool of 10, 5 true, 5 false.
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God maths makes my head hurt.
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Also, there’s an inevitable esprit de corps that develops when folks go through a crisis together. This is an online expression of that esprit de corps, but shouldn’t be read as cheering on the deaths.
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This is the richest suburb of Columbus:
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I mean, it sorta stands to reason that a gambling forum is going to have people unusually fixated on near-term numerical outcomes. We are a self-selecting group that interprets the world through a quantified, probability-weighted lens.
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Its going to happen though. It is without a doubt inevitable. You cannot beat a pandemic with a Federal Government intent on ignoring that it is happening with a large percentage of the populace thinking pretending it isn’t real triggers the libs.
Three months ago your thinking was fine. There was reason to be optimistic. What will the government do between now and January to prevent this from getting worse? They’ve had 4+ months!
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Shouldn’t we care more about long-term numerical outcomes?
I think this is a very generational thing. The leftist movements of the late 60s were combined with a lot of intergenerational conflict in Germany. Students being born during/ after the war rebelling against their fathers who had lived through the 30s and 40s as (young) adults.
As I was born in the late 70s this had a different dynamic by the time. My paternal grandpa had two brothers and pretty much the only thing I know about one of them is that he was a Wehrmacht officer. All the other male relatives in my family of that generation that I personally interacted with were born in 1927 or later, so that was pretty different. The only weird thing I remember is my other grandpa giving me a picture book for the 1936 olympics published later in the year because I had enjoyed watching the 1984 games on TV and was the sane age he was when he got the book.
Sorry for getting too off-topic.
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