COVID-19: Chapter 5 - BACK TO SCHOOL

https://twitter.com/georebekah/status/1283812193608368131?s=21

I dont know arnold was a disaster in california

Arnold was awesome. I would eat broken glass to have Arnie as president right now.

Gray Davis was the example of when a state gets too blue and corruption takes over. He sucked. CA state politics sucks. There’s no incentive because there’s no competition. But CA has always been corrupt no matter who’s in charge.

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So close temporarily right after election to reduce numbers so it’s “safe for snowbirds”

I’m wondering how effectively these red states will be able to cover up and misattribute Covid deaths now with hospitals reporting to HHS over CDC.

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My general feel is when Florida is pushing 20,000 cases a day (if they can even test enough to get that number) and 300+ deaths a day in a month they will be hard pressed to not shut down. The hospitals will be in even worse shape by then.

The crazy part is if they shut down today they would STILL hit 20,000/300 by early August. Waiting until those numbers are a reality is bat shit insane. But DeSantis is a stooge and simpleton so maybe they let it rip. I would imagine the public outcry has to matter at some point though.

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I dont think they shut down. I think they’re pot committed and Ron is worried if he shuts down he will lose the next election

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I think a lot of what happens depends on schools, if schools in lily white neighborhoods opens up and the kids start infecting their parents you’ll see a shutdown. As is Ron doesn’t seem to care about Florida citizens.

A lot of snowbirds come from Canada. And they ain’t coming down for obvious reasons.

Don’t you think letting tens of thousands of Florida residents die to keep Applebee’s open will hurt his election chances at some point? I completely agree that is all he cares about though. He couldn’t care less who dies as long as he gets a second term.

That’s what I’m afraid of. Why make such a big push to hide hospital data now, unless they think a huge crunch is coming and they’re going to try to just lie through the whole thing?

Media really needs to step up here and report the shit out hospitals.

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I hated him. He gave $10m to right-wing Simon in the Republican primary to keep moderate, mostly beloved Dick Riordan from winning the R nom.

The prison unions ran wild under Davis. I think they were his biggest backer. There was a ton of other corruption stuff.

By my little eyeball analysis I posted earlier - multiply todays cases by 5% and you get FL’s deaths in a month - so around 700/day. Split the difference (550), weight a little to the second two weeks for the curve effect, and we should be at ~350 (150 today + 200 more) deaths/day in 2 weeks.

Super ballpark but everything is really just ballpark at this point. So let’s see how it goes.

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https://twitter.com/MarchForScience/status/1283767037836382213

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I didn’t realize Puerto Rico “reopened” yesterday (ending its 14 day quarantine requirement for people arriving from mainland USA) as long as people can generate a negative test that was within 3 days of their trip.

The logistics of this given week-plus waiting periods for tests seems questionable at very best. My guess is people don’t get their test results back in time, or otherwise don’t have tests, and go “yeah okay I’ll quarantine” and go about their vacay.

Add Target and CVS to the chains with mask mandates.

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These people are nuts.

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It took only 21 days for USA #1s 7DMA to double from:

June 24 - 32,448 to
July 15 - 65,107

That is insane considering we still have the originally hardest hit states declining. I’m too lazy to do the math but red states have to have tripled or quadrupled in 3 weeks. And there is almost nothing being done about it. Mask mandates that will only be followed by the people already wearing masks for the most part is all we have seen in only some red states. Someone convince me why we won’t see R>1 in red states for the foreseeable future? If we do the next couple of months is going to be a bloodbath.

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Seems about right. Friend’s sister who lives in Utah county, a couple of months ago: “Herd immunity!” Friend who lives in SLC: “She’s crazy.”

The biggest difference is the families pushing to return in Salt Lake City are willing to send their kids back in masks to make it happen. At the larger and louder rally in the more conservative Utah County, not having to wear them was the point.

Westworld getting in on the action

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