Here are the most recent graphs for Iowa, Nebraska, and South Dakota, and Florida (through 7/7). Iowa is for sure on the rise (correlation to SDI). Nebraska has hit a sweet spot of good SDI effects and sparseness. Their cases have been lowering to flat for at least a couple of months. I think South Dakota seems to be the sparseness lottery winner, because they’re doing absolutely nothing that should lead to a good outcome. If there haven’t been effects from that rally in the next 5 weeks, it must have to do with population density and rally goers being tourists. Florida had good SDI for a long time. It was only recently they fell off the wagon and that’s why they’re going through what they are now, in my opinion.
The A#1 factor to me is population density. Low population density requires a low SDI score, which means major changes don’t need to happen to keep cases ‘flat’. If these places spent even a little effort to try to kill the virus, I have no doubt they would crush the curve in 6 weeks. Montana was the best example of that, but they’ve fallen off the wagon and tourism (guessing) is probably now starting to make their cases shoot up. Idaho which had an outbreak at the beginning they tamped down is very much seeming to be out of control now.
Every place that has low population density and pretty good SDI is doing ‘well’. Every place that has high population density and excellent SDI is doing ‘well’. It seems to be much harder for a place with low population density to get it out of control and very very easy for a place with high population density to return to a bad place within about 6 weeks if SDI gets too low.
I think population density plays a much bigger factor than weather and all of those places will eventually get extremely hot this summer providing conditions we both agree the virus appears to like based on its performance in Florida, Arizona, Texas, and Nevada. If things stay relatively the same as they have been, it’s really gotta come down to population density, in my opinion. Also keep in mind the SD governor is very likely cooking her books and I really don’t trust the data coming out of there.
I went to school in Kirksville, MO with a bunch of Iowegians. I don’t remember Iowans being particularly dumber or smarter, but they are definitely terrible drivers. Nothing worse than getting stuck behind that blue plate on a 2 lane highway where you can’t pass.
Every time I’ve seen roughly 850k tests show up it’s been in the 8 percent range. I would think they’d easily pass 70k on 850k tests, but it hasn’t happened with the site I’m using to track yet (Friday was still shy of 67k on covidtracking, the highest they’ve reported and I think testing was in that 850k or 875k range if I remember correctly).
I know I have given you a lot of shit over the past 4 months so I just wanted to say I mostly agree with you. It would make sense for winter to be worse. All we have to go on really is spring and summer data which is plenty bad. I hope winter won’t be worse but deep down I suspect it will be. And it will be worse for everything else too.
They might omit reservations, prisons, and military but they definitely have all the territories.
How are reservations, prisons, and military counted based on the states they occur in? My feeling is those are potentially double counted stats in the states they’re located. It seems pretty clear reservation stats are counted in New Mexico’s state stats, but it’s less easy to see that being the case in the rest of the Four Corners.
They aren’t counted in the state health department stats to my knowledge. The navajo nation exceeded the Arizona totals at times 2 months ago so they definitely aren’t being counted twice.
To be honest it is a relatively negligible difference but that is why Worldometers totals are higher every single day than covidtracker. If they have territory stats that must have been added after i stopped using that site.
Maybe covidtracking folds those into the state stats. There’s probably no way to tell easily. Do you have any example days you can give me of the Navajo Nation stats, so I can do a few comparisons?
I can maybe find it later. Navajo nation only reports 1-2 times a week though so if it was included into Arizona stats you would see very large spikes on a couple days a week going all the way back to the beginning.
Currently Navajo Nation isn’t clickable for day by day stats on WM. So I don’t have a quick way to give you an example.
0 so far. No tests means no pozzed up dirty immigrants. Chessmate libtard!
In all seriousness probably a shocking number of people have died from Covid in the concentration camps. I might actually believe in God if that wasn’t the case.
A while someone pointed out that China’s Uighur camps are probably going to get overrun with COVID. No way the world ever hears about what’s going on there.
Going off of 1point3acres, they were tracking Navajo Nation, but there’s an abrupt stoppage of data starting between 5/10-5/14 based on place. My guess is states weren’t originally putting Navajo Nation stats in their stats, but they possibly started getting folded in around May 14. Your date targets will probably need to be in the week before week after type of area to see if that’s what happened.
