I don’t know that anyone was super specific about their predictions, particularly single-day predictions, but here’s how I have thought about it. The best prediction of forward-looking deaths is recent cases*recent estimated CFR. (Recent cases are 7 day average and recent CFR is 7 day average deaths divided by 7 day average cases from 21 days ago). That gives me an estimated forward-looking death pattern that looks like this (blue line is high estimate and maroon line is low estimate):
This is kind of a weird plot to look at, but basically it’s saying, “As of a given date, what is the high and low estimate for what 7-day average deaths will be roughly 3 weeks in the future?” So the estimate for today’s death count would look back to July 10th or so, and would say roughly 1,230-1,370 for the 7day average as of today. That’s actually a little higher than current 7-day average of 1,109 (I think that’s what it is right now. I’ve had a few beers.)
My estimate for the peak is that the highest 7-day average deaths will be between 1,350-1,790 and will be somewhere around the 7 days from 8/2-8/8.
Obviously(?) this is a fairly near term estimate and doesn’t account for the obviously-important fact that schools are starting up again in August.