COVID-19: Chapter 4 - OPEN FOR BUSINESS

Of course. Abolish the police.

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Late to the discussion, but Iā€™m also a parent worried what the effects of only hanging out with his parents for months on end will have on our 2 year old. But, given thereā€™s nothing I can really do Iā€™ve been trying not to think about it too much, and allowing myself to vaguely think that itā€™s somewhat common (and used to be much more so) for kids to stay at home till school age, and surely not all first borns / only children are messed up?

Then my wife spoke to another parent from his daycare recently. Apparently their kid has been missing her daycare friends terribly, getting upset, asking why she canā€™t go. Itā€™s been a real issue and pretending to call each of them (including our son) several times a day is what gets her through it. She wanted to know how we dealt with that. We had nothing as he has never shown the tiniest sign of thinking about anyone from there throughout lockdown. I donā€™t know if this is a good or bad sign!

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Yeah about that stupid chart on the Georgia state site homepage:

https://www.ajc.com/news/state--regional-govt--politics/just-outstanding%20citizenoo-state-latest-data-mishap-causes-critics-cry-foul/182PpUvUX9XEF8vO11NVGO/

In the latest bungling of tracking data for the novel coronavirus, a recently posted bar chart on the Georgia Department of Public Healthā€™s website appeared to show good news: new confirmed cases in the counties with the most infections had dropped every single day for the past two weeks.

In fact, there was no clear downward trend.

ā€¦When the pandemic began, the agency assigned a date to a case based on the day results came into its office. Starting in late April, DPH added charts that date a new coronavirus case back to the day a patient said symptoms started. If that data isnā€™t reported, DPH substitutes the date the test sample was collected or when it was received results.

But because it can take weeks for case information to come in, the new method always appears to show that cases are declining, even if they are not. The charts that used it stirred suspicion and confusion, and ran afoul of principles for communicating during a public health crisis, experts said.

ā€¦One example is a map of Georgia cases and infection rates that colors counties in shades of blue or red based on local rates of infection. In recent weeks, DPH raised the bar on how high an infection rate needs to be before a county is colored red.

ā€œBased on the (key) they were using a couple weeks ago, a good third to a half of our state would show up as red right now,ā€ Heiman said. ā€œBecause they keep moving the goalposts, if you will, it doesnā€™t look that way.ā€

On Monday morning, DPH reported about 2,400 more confirmed cases than actual tests performed.

On Tuesday, DPH updated its charts again with clearer labeling that some of its most recent data is preliminary. But one chart for cases and deaths uses such a large numeric key, the number of deaths appear to be almost zeroā€¦

Iā€™ve been saying there was something wrong with that chart. But thatā€™s ok with me as long as I can still get the raw numbers, which so far they seem to be providing.

https://twitter.com/stphnfwlr/status/1259589739801456640

Lol Georgia.

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https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/05/12/science.abc3517

France did a big study:

  1. The lockdown reduced the R0 from 2.9 to 0.67
  2. IFR was 0.7%, increasing with age as one might expect
  3. 3.6% of cases were hospitalized and of those approximately 20% die
  4. They estimate 4.4% of the population is infected, which is insufficient to prevent a second wave

ā€œAssuming a basic reproductive number of R0 = 3.0, it would require around 65% of the population to be immune for the epidemic to be controlled by immunity alone. Our results therefore strongly suggest that, without a vaccine, herd immunity on its own will be insufficient to avoid a second wave at the end of the lockdown. Efficient control measures need to be maintained beyond the 11 May.ā€

ā€œOur model can help inform the ongoing and future response to COVID-19. National ICU daily admissions have gone from 700 at the end of March to 66 on 7 May. Hospital admissions have declined from 3600 to 357 over the same time periodā€

Iā€™m no fetish shamer but doing that would be fucked up.

https://twitter.com/AndySlater/status/1261048907880181761

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I donā€™t need to play poker that bad.

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You shake hands after a haircut even in non pandemic times?

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Seriously. Unless you make your living playing poker, you have got to have a real gambling problem if you head back to a casino any time soon.

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I shake hands with barber, for sure. Every time.

I will say I have really missed live poker. Itā€™s one of my main hobbies. I have lots of poker friends I havenā€™t seen. I also miss the supplemental income. Iā€™m good enough to crush live but not online. Lol.

Do you shake your barberā€™s hand?

  • Yes
  • No

0 voters

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I mean holy shit at the x-axis on that chart

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Iā€™m friends with my barber and heā€™s been cutting my hair for about 8 years so I shake up with him like I would my other friends

I donā€™t think Iā€™ve ever seen anyone shake hands with the ladies at supercuts.

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Shake his hand? I wash my barberā€™s junk!

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Live poker pros are screwed. Recreational players arenā€™t coming back for at least a year.

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Pictures of everyone going to bars suggests otherwise.

She offered. It was weird but I didnā€™t think about it.

Martyā€™s Poll

Do you kiss your hair stylist/barber

  • Once
  • Twice
  • Thrice

0 voters

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