COVID-19: Chapter 4 - OPEN FOR BUSINESS

Whats happening is reality is setting in on them that they’re almost certainly going to lose everything in a landslide if the virus is still here in November and it will still be here in November

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The CDC has determined that it’s not a big issue, and you’ve gotta take the CDC’s word for it. It’s probably entirely a coincidence that they changed their guidance on this right before a lot of places OPENED FOR BUSINESS and complained about the hassle/cost of wiping down all surfaces.

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Yea maybe. But states are still not shutting down. They obviously gambled the virus would go away in the summer like the flu.

It probably would have at least stayed below R0=1 if they made everyone wear masks in public and didn’t open bars.

Dumbass Trump just had to wear a mask from day 1 and he could start claiming hoax by fall and coast to re-election. But the dude is too high on his own supply.

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When did the CDC change its guidelines on surface contamination?

Regarding UV: this doesn’t seem like it’s going to help person-to-person spread much unless these droplets are persisting in the air for a very long time. Might be a handy way to decontaminate surfaces but I worry about unknown health effects.

Yup, all these guys are just looking at polls and realizing if this thing stays the course we’re on then Trump is absolutely fucked.

Then there’s this. SMH.

https://mobile.twitter.com/GeoffRBennett/status/1277945031278682112

Ah, got it. That’s very encouraging then wrt safety.

Practicality remains a concern. There could be a big issue with taking the regulatory limit and averaging it out over an entire space, since the practicality of lighting is that you’re going to have hotspots (near lights) and cold spots. You’ll likely only be able to practically achieve the regulatory limit in a fraction of a public space (since no individual receptor can go above the regulatory exposure limit). So I think you’ll have a big efficacy hit right there; probably something like 50-75%.

Maybe she’s just talking about the faces on the mountain, those guys can’t move too easily. Would be awesome if we could get Christo’s corpse to put a mask on them.

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They gambled that this would be yet another thing Trump would wriggle free of responsibility for and now have to hatch a backup plan to cover their own asses so he doesn’t drag them down with him.

Arizona at 4,600 cases. So much for growth leveling off.

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Miami-Dade County

R0: 2.27
Percentage Actively Infected: .63%
Days to Overrun: 5.4
Avail ICU: 21%

The data is coming from the same place as Orlando, so the head to head comparison is warranted. Way better R0, more infections per capita, but better current hospitalization and better R0 mean less time to totally fucked. Hey, that should be the new stat. TTTF.

Tampa (Hillsborough County)
R0: 3.09
Percentage Actively Infected: .55%
TTTF: 3 days
Avail ICU: 11%

Jacksonville (Duval County)
R0: 16.4 (Last 7 days = 3.2)
Percentage Actively Infected: .44%
TTTF: 2.7 days (That R0 won’t hold, so using 3.2 it’s 6.5 days)
Avail ICU: 25%

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No, in theory it could be useful for stuff where one person at a time comes in, or small groups at a time. So maybe a gym has 5 people per hour, then empties out and runs it for 10 minutes, new set of 5 come in… For stuff like that, it could work. Gyms, salons, etc.

Maybe it lets you have small groups in bars/restaurants that way, or you could make each table like a different room with barriers and then light it up between groups.

Doubt any of that is cost-effective though.

Late May:

The almost perfect correlation to how OPEN FOR BUSINESS places are and how in trouble they are is pretty incredible especially if you exclude the states with low populations.

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+1

It covers most of Sumter county, with a smidgen of territory in the other two.

The Villages (Sumter County)

R0: 3.82
Percentage Actively Infected: .06%
TTTF: 11.6
Avail ICU: 25%

They are also in two other counties, but I think Sumter is almost entirely The Villages, so it’s the best proxy.

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