There is definitely just some point where it is worth it for a person to drastically increase their chance of getting covid vs being 100% safe. My mom hasnt hugged her grandkids in 6 months. Shes 72 and has some health issues and could only have 5 years left without covid. Her and my dad have been extremely safe but shes ready to say screw it and spend a bunch of time with her family cuddling and hugging and playing games ect.
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The state of emergency here ended May 17th
05/17 â 1957
06/27 â 3272 (+67%)
I think this is similar to the spike in the Czech Republic. Prague used to be the most infected area per capita in the country but with the outbreak along the Czech-Polish border, Moravia-Silesia is now the most infectious region of the country.
Over the last 7 days, the per capita new cases in Karvina (a small district in Moravia-Silesia) is 135.59 per 100,000. In Prague, itâs 6.49. As a matter of fact, 122 of the 260 cases from yesterday were from Karvina, a district with a population of 52,000 people. Basically, theyâve been fending off an outbreak there for about a month now. The rest of Moravia-Silesia contains over a million people. No doubt theyâre responsible for the majority of new cases.
I think we all realize this one way or another. However, I really think that point is after it becomes obvious there isnât going to be a âquickâ cure or vaccine or other breakthrough⊠and not before.
Iâve been saying, baring such a breakthrough, Iâll re-evaluate our household lock down after the 2022 Rose Bowl.
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Really? They seem pretty spot on to me.
For instance, in Nevada, 70% of the state lives in a small part of Clark County with a ppsm of 4,000 on average. Urban areas tend to skew towards the denser side*, so the weighted population density of that 2 million people should be well north of there. So youâd expect something in the 4,000-6,000 range.
*if you have a high rise district with 20,000 ppsm and a suburban district with 1,000 ppsm, each with the same population, the average population density of the entire area will be just over 2,000 ppsm, while the weighted population density will be just over 10,000 ppsm
The second part of this analysis is potentially confounded by Memorial Day. If there was an increase in infections due to holiday travel, then the absence of a reversion to the âdefaultâ rate of infection could mean that the protests did cause infections relative to the counter factual.
Kid Poker jumping into the deep end of the pool
https://twitter.com/RealKidPoker/status/1276949246638321664?s=20
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I fancy myself a much more rational and level headed person than most and the loneliness is starting to get to me. Every day feels the same, my kids arenât getting to socialize and make friends, there is really nothing to look forward to. It fucking sucks. Obviously all anti-mask warriors are just dipshits, same for the pool party crew, but it is hard for me to get too mad at people taking calculated risks like small cookouts or whatever.
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Weekend data has followed normal patterns in FL also. They had 3400 cases reported last Sunday. Nearly tripling in a week seems bad but what do I know.
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Eh, I think the Memorial Day effect is overblown.
Things were opening steadily throughout May, and Memorial Day definitely kicked things back up a notch.
Iâve gone on walks through Atlanta most weekend nights since this began. There hasnât been a weekend where things were less busy and crowded than the weekend before it.
Except, of course, for the curfew weekend.
Thatâs the same weekend that NH seemed to get fed up with precautions and I noticed that people were everywhere all of a sudden, and tons of people had BBQs and parties, etc.
This.
People in the CR are still pretty good about following regulations wearing masks but even I found myself walking into convenience stores completely forgetting to wear my mask and not being told to leave/put on a mask. Granted, there were literally no other customers in the store during those times but a month or so ago, I wouldnât have been allowed in without a mask regardless of who was there. Technically, people are still not allowed to be maskless in places that cannot reasonably practice social distancing but store owners really arenât enforcing it anymore.
Iâm not a sociable person but Iâve found myself going to the outdoor part of restaurants and pubs where thereâs no social distancing and no masks. I have to socialize with somebody. Granted, the CR is nowhere near as bad as America so thereâs less risk involved in going out but itâs still a risk.
I had a handful of dreams last night where I kept walking into places without a mask and getting asked to leave. So Iâm doing great
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Arizona new record. On a Sunday. Very bad omen for the next few weeks there.
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Very lucky that is just me and the wife and we havenât gotten bored with each other yet.
I do have PT (masked) and now a little tennis (unmasked). We have found ways to get out to remote parks and do visit with with the neighbors at a distance (well more than 6â)
More calls with family than normal.
We have booked a hotel room in Johnstown PA where she has some dead relatives (the best kind as you can judge them, they canât judge you, they donât ruin holidays and they donât hit you up for money). Will be taking our own wipes and airing out the room.
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TIL dead relatives are the best relatives. Actually 100% agree.
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FFFFLLLLLLOOOOORRRRRRIIIIIIDDDDDDAAAAA
On a Sunday!
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So weâre definitely at exponential growth in the South and Southwest, right? Doubling is what, every 3 days?