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Florida really is going full Sweden. Going to be a bloodbath.
The only thing I donât understand is why this didnât happen sooner in Florida like we all expected months ago.
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Maybe it was the air conditioner theory. For awhile they were outside but now the heat is up and they are inside wo masks.
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They could at least have the decency to require those underground helicopters that donât make so much noise.
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Any idea for bringing back sports that doesnât move locker rooms either to outdoor stalls, or completely abandon them is absolute folly. Locker rooms are up there with bars and cruise. ships.
Itâs fucking baseball - just put your stuff in a big bag and drive back to your residence to shower like little leaguers do.
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It wasnât nearly this open 2 months ago.
The team is Tampa Bay Lightning. lolFlorida
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Nah, it will be much worse than Sweden. At least Sweden took it somewhat seriously, even though they made a concerted decision not to lockdown. In the US, weâre running around licking hand rails to prove that covid-19 is a hoax.
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Opening isnât just an on/off switch either. Mask prevalence, for example, has declined gradually. People take time to make behavioral adjustments even when policies change.
That said, I also agree with the AC theory. Relative proportion of inside vs. outside activity is almost certainly a factor.
Pandemic accelerating - World Health Organization chief
The World Health Organization has warned that the Covid-19 pandemic is entering a ânew and dangerousâ phase. Thursday saw the most cases in a single day reported to the WHO.
Dr Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said the day had seen 150,000 new cases with half of those coming from the Americas and large numbers also from the Middle East and South Asia.
He said the virus was still spreading fast and the pandemic accelerating.
He acknowledged people might be fed up with self-isolating and countries were eager to open their economies but he said that now was a time for extreme vigilance.
Regarding Floridaâs new cases today, I entered them into my model yesterday. They went from an R0 of 1.61 to 1.68 and Days to Overflow from 21-39 to 18-35. So a steady progression on the path they were on would have gone to 20-38, losing a couple days there from a single daily update is a pretty big jump.
If the R0 in Florida gets up in the Arizona range of 1.8 to 2, it would drop more toward the 14-28 range. Keep in mind that range is to the total number of COVID patients in the state exceeding the total hospital capacity in the state, and the safe end accounts for a 150% surge in capacity - but no decline from stopping elective procedures. Also keep in mind that Iâm adding 4 days to the front of the range and 7 to the back to account for the fact that cases acquired in the last several days arenât in the hospital yet, and my formula only adjusts for that at the end.
Essentially what Iâm getting at is that once the back number is 21, you subtract the 7 from it and realize that any change today is not going to impact the curve for 14 days at which point youâre fucked. So when the back end of a stateâs range is 14, and they havenât taken steps to slow the spread now, their only hope is to surge capacity beyond 150% and reduce non-COVID capacity significantly in that amount of time.
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I donât know if reality has set in yet though, because they are definitely full speed ahead on planning ofr opening. Theyâve already recalled a ton of furloughed employees back to work, theyâve put in food & supply orders, etc.
At the local level that reality wonât set in until the mouse pulls the plug.
Florida shut down. Itâs now in itâs second phase of reopening. Also weâre two weeks from Memorial Day. The only saving grace might be that more people everywhere are wearing masks, whereas masks were not a thing back in March anywhere, so maybe it wonât be as bad as it was in March.
Is this confirmed?
https://twitter.com/KUSINews/status/1273741201368178688
Damn! Alright well Iâve had backyard beers a few times with my best friends, but Iâve only been inside a home that wasnât mine or my moms once since march, and that was to use the bathroom. Its pretty tough with a bunch of different roommates to agree to coronavirus rules but we donât allow visitors without a good reason (being bored and thirsty doesnât count) and they have to stay outside the whole time. Weâve never had more than 2 people over and only from one household.
*reposted from wrong thread
https://twitter.com/TSNBobMcKenzie/status/1274029284907085824
https://twitter.com/TSNBobMcKenzie/status/1274026111836532737
lol just insane.