COVID-19: Chapter 4 - OPEN FOR BUSINESS

LOL of course not!

…apparently we still do, that’s weird. Conditions apply though, but if you e.g. get a jerb you’re in.

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Beijing cluster ‘may be European strain’

Chinese officials have released genome data for the coronavirus traced to a recent cluster in Beijing, saying they noted similarities to a European strain.

China has shared the data with the World Health Organisation amid pressure to make the findings public.

This comes after Beijing reported nearly 200 fresh Covid-19 infections after months. Tens of thousands are being tested in the city, where neighbourhoods are under lockdown and schools shut. The cluster has been traced to a sprawling wholesale market in the city.

But scientists are cautious over drawing early conclusion about the link.

“It is possible that the virus now causing an outbreak in Beijing travelled from Wuhan to Europe and now back to China,” Ben Cowling, a professor at the University of Hong Kong’s School of Public Health, told AFP news agency.

But he added that patient zero hadn’t been identified yet and that it may be too late to find out how the latest cluster started.

Can you expand on this? I saw something about it the other day, they did way less tests or something? In terms of my model and charts, should I be assuming they’re in worse shape than it appears?

Also, tell me if you agree with this: if we combine your graph and data and my model, we can conclude that it is likely that redder states are likely to see R0 (and really everything) get worse, while bluer states are likely to see that stuff improve. Which means that Florida is mega mega mega fucked. I’ve got them at a 1.61 R0, 21-39 days from hospital overload statewide. If their rate of transmission actually accelerates upwards toward 2, it’s going to speed that timeline up.

For sure… It seems like that’s the type of business they’d be able to reopen afterwards, even if they were sort of starting from scratch, right? They’d still have the expertise, the connections, the history, etc.

Virus ‘was already in Italy in December’

Coronavirus was already present in northern Italy in December 2019, some two months before the first known case was diagnosed, according to a study by Italy’s national health institute, the ISS.

Traces of the virus were detected in samples of waste water in the cities of Milan and Turin at the end of last year, and in Bologna in January, the ISS said.

The institute carried out an analysis of waste water collected from October 2019 to February 2020 before Covid-19 officially hit Italy.

Samples from October and November 2019 were negative, showing the virus had yet to arrive, ISS water quality expert Giuseppina La Rosa said.

It was nice knowing y’all.

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Just as a follow-up to my post the other day, here’s the preprint paper showing the G614 variant is more effective at entering human cells, up to 8 times more effective in some cases.

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Guess we’re all gonna die then.

We were all just going to die from some other cause anyway.

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Fuck

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Mask wearing % in the Minneapolis area (inner suburbs) is still pretty high ime. I did a couple store runs this week and almost everyone is wearing one, the state isn’t shut down and we are crushing this thing right now, that’s got to be part of the reason why

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Same here in NH. Most people are still wearing masks in stores, and we also are managing to keep down the infection numbers.

South Carolinians are still allergic to masks. Went to pick up curbside last night and saw a group of more than a dozen people, one carrying a newborn infant, huddled together, walking in. None were wearing masks and they were shouting at each other and at their kids. The worst is yet to come in SC

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Also it’s been 3 weeks since the protests started here and still no increase in cases, I figured if it was going to happen we would have been seeing it by now

Linear time is an illusion created by your limited perception so take heart because you’re already dead (or not yet born) in 99.999999…% of the space time of the universe. Any actual life you think you are experiencing can be written off as a statistical outlier.

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And pretty much all of the case climbers are red which means the whole more testing argument is

https://images.app.goo.gl/i32piZcuNCmptcG89

A+ chart. Anything I’ve done like that in excel I’ve had to hand color the points.

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The protests didn’t cause shit. Here in Atlanta, they probably slowed the virus. The city had a week of shutdown from bars/evening gatherings due to the curfew (even after the curfew was lifted, most places stayed closed because they weren’t staffed to be open).

Mask compliance in Atlanta is good in grocery stores and stuff, but the bars and clubs are open again, and there are packed out restaurants all over the place.

The narrative that libs are hypocrites for protesting is such complete bullshit.

I just twitter replied to the CBS sports radio overnight host. She seems to think that the nba “bubble” is some kind of magic barrier. I had to point out to here that all the staff supporting the bubble is going home every nigght and will be out in a community of rapidly rising case load. I 100% not get a reply.

Oooo, sounds like Mar-a-lago territory. Damn shame if some members can’t get a bed.

Yeah I was having a chat with a buddy about this last night. I said the likelihood is we would have seen more cases tested presymptomatically, as leaders were urging protesters to go get tested and the protesters were left wing so they believe in science. The fact that we don’t have a spike yet is a pretty good indicator that outdoors and masks is pretty safe.

Hmmm, I wonder if this is why Georgia is an outlier on the early re-opening red states. More bigger protests there than in most red states in the South, I’m guessing.