The breakthrough with dexamethasone was pretty great news.
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Good pointâI meant on the OFB verdict.
I assume raising their voices up to the lord.
According to some PhD pharmacology guy on chiefsplanet - a lot of serious patients were already being treated with dexamethasone in the US. And you would never use it on any but the most serious cases due to some nasty side effects after more than a week. (iirc). Still good news, but maybe not earth shattering.
I like it. I could never get the right 3 variable setup I wanted in excel other than adding a number label.
Want % positive or % positive change
Case rate per capita
Case rate % change.
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The article also said that the church had hosted at least one wedding and a graduation ceremony, which probably have even more close interraction between the attendees than a standard church service.
You could also change the size of the circle based on the testing % change or case % change. I did a project 5 years ago where I used Matlab and matplotlib, but didnât do anything fancy (and wow, canât understand a damn thing about that project today lol).
I assume you can figure out how to generate the colors based on the numbers, and you just need to know how to make the plot use the colors.
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Most matplotlib parameters take arrays that would apply to each item in your set respectively. You can change colors/sizes that way. Iâm not a matplotlib master, but I sometimes use it when plotting at work.
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Choosing Colormaps in Matplotlib â Matplotlib 3.2.1 documentation something like this might be what youâre looking for.
Concrete example: How to Use Colormaps with Matplotlib to Create Colorful Plots in Python | by Elizabeth Ter Sahakyan | Better Programming
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I fixed the occupancy range estimate, I was calculating it wrong before. It was just a separate cherry on top for the chart, though, the formulas being used for Days to Overflow were separate, so we shouldnât see major changes there.
Keep in mind days to overflow is statewide, so the overwhelming likelihood is that some parts of the state overflow before the entire state does. Arizona appears to be in an âany day nowâ situation. But of course that will âonlyâ mean activating their surge capacity plans. The front end to days to overflow is for 100% capacity, the back end is for 150% capacity, which is just a ballpark assumption on what they can surge capacity to.
The problem for Arizona is that the gap between the two, which is a generous gap based on how I calculate, does not give them enough time to implement curve-flattening strategies the day it tips over and have them save them from tipping over their surge capacity too.
Theyâre showing no signs of trying to flatten. Arizona is going to be very bad.
South Carolina needs to do something pretty quickly here, too. I doubt they will. Florida is really picking up the pace here, too, and not in a good way. Texas is also starting to see those non-green colors pick up, as-is Utah.
Congrats to Oregon, which sees its R0 drop from 2.14 to 2.02, and days to overflow increase from 19-31 to 20-33 - while another day passes, so itâs really a gain of two days on the front end and three on the back. Could just be statistical noise, but given that they did put a freeze on re-opening on, and if I recall it was around 10 days ago, we may be just starting to see the leading edge of the impact of that. Letâs hope.
Slight improvement in North Carolina as well, but as far as I know no mitigation efforts there so this one is more likely to be noise.
Hawaii needs to get its shit together in a hurry, but I assume they will. The R0 should naturally drop a bit on its own, then mitigation effects will kick in, assuming they made efforts.
Georgia and Mississippi still doing mysteriously better than they should be⌠Or lying about their numbers.
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They are opening up in Portland tomorrow. All the local card rooms were advertising open for business come tomorrow.
Oh, God, thatâs not good. I guess that part of Oregon is doing okay right now, though?
Seems like if AZ is overwhelmed, they can get help from other states. The shit will really hit the fan if we get to the point where 5 or 6 states are simultaneously overwhelmed.
Yea I think there spikes are from rural counties and that church. All the counties surrounding Portland were already in phase 1. I havenât paid much attention to the numbers because it seemed Oregon/portland area were doing really well. My SIL is Icu nurse in Portland so I usually just ask if they are getting a lot more patients. Portland has a different poker scene where itâs at bars, strip clubs and then what they call social clubs. I know for last couple weeks they have been running 5-6 tables at a sports bar just outside of Portland. Now the clubs in Portland are opening and just seems like a terrible idea.
Itâs not an if, itâs a when. What kind of help, exactly? They can get vents from FEMA and maybe from some other states. Maybe they can get PPE and more beds. They can set up field tents. They can bring in traveling nurses and such. But, like, Utahâs not in great shape, SoCal may not be in great shape, Nevada is not in great shape. Their neighbors may not be in a position to be willing to offer a ton of help. Also keep in mind smart governors are presumably stockpiling PPE for the winter⌠not to give it to Arizona because theyâre having maskless Fuck the Libs Galas at Dennyâs every night.
And how much help? Their R0 is 1.96, thatâs going to be a doubling time of about six days. How many times can they double before there is not enough help? Unless/until they slow the spread, theyâre fucked - itâs a matter of how long and how much they can surge capacity to delay that, but without shutdowns and mandatory masks, theyâre fucked.
Welp, South Carolina has maybe another week or two to act. Florida and Texas are huge states, so take 7-14 days off those numbers and assume somewhere in the state is fucked in that amount of time or less⌠I just went in to check on Dallas and Houston regionally with their wonderfully transparent data site (seriously), but they suddenly have hospitalization data turned off. Hopefully that just means theyâre updating it.
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Yeah I was told that a few of the underground games in Philly have run all the way through with zero cases⌠But Philly has done a really good job with the curve. Iâm still going nowhere near a real live card table anytime soon.
Yeah weâre fucked in AZ and we deserve it. All these defiant retirees who think itâs a hoax are going to get got. No one cares about this. Mask usage was never great but it has gotten worse since we opened back up.
I just worry about my parents, although they too think the state is overreacting. Really theyâre just upset that my momâs business is on life support after 20+ years of working 6 - 7 days a week.
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That part really sucks, and I feel for that, but not much that can be done. What kind of business?
Tested negative for antibodies as part of a blood donation. I guess thatâs a thing now. Got results in 48 hours. Blood donations were mega fucked because 100% of the mobile drives were cancelled.
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Finance.
Yeap itâs just unfortunate but not worth killing people to keep things open. Theyâll be fine either way.