Global record increase…
France meanwhile reported 464,769 new daily infections on Tuesday, more than four times higher than Monday’s figure of 102,144 and a daily record for the pandemic. Infections have now climbed past a weekly average of over 300,000 new cases per day.
You gotta remember I work with exponential growth every day. I can whack a full 10% of bacteria in my tank and cut out no real time or spread.
Let’s look at 10 generations
1-2-4-8-16-32-64-128-256-512-1028
Now lets say I prevent 10% of cases at step 4
1-2-4-8-14-28-56-112-224-448-896
Now it looks like 1028/896 is a lot but it’s Log2 of 10 vs 9.8. For something that doubles every three days it’s a few hours difference.
Massive NPIs make a big deal. Nickel and dime NPIs don’t do much on a global scale, though they may save you and yours.
Only if we can cut spread hard such that the doubling rate is cut enough to allow for new interventions (drugs, vax, etc).
If everyone else is peeing in the pool you can save yourself the grossness by getting out, but staying in and not peeing yourself doesn’t do squat.
No we don’t disagree, the math is depressing. When collective action is needed, everyone rowing in their own direction doesn’t help.
This applies to almost all of the problems in America. No wonder we’re all so pissed off!
No kink shaming here please!
Up to 300,000 more Americans could die by mid-March, academic models say
In the US, pandemic modellers are predicting a wave of Omicron deaths in the coming weeks.
AP reports:
The fast-moving omicron variant may cause less severe disease on average, but Covid-linked deaths in the U.S. are climbing and modellers forecast 50,000 to 300,000 more Americans could die by the time the wave subsides in mid-March.
The seven-day rolling average for daily new COVID-19 deaths in the U.S. has been trending upward since mid-November, reaching nearly 1,700 on 17 January — still below the peak of 3,300 in January 2021. Covid-19 deaths among nursing home residents started rising slightly two weeks ago, although still at a rate 10 times less than last year before most residents were vaccinated.
If the higher end of projections comes to pass, that would push total US deaths from Covid-19 over 1 million by early spring.
Despite signs omicron causes milder disease on average, the unprecedented level of infection spreading through the country, with cases still soaring in many states, means many vulnerable people will become severely ill.
“A lot of people are still going to die because of how transmissible omicron has been,” University of South Florida epidemiologist Jason Salemi told AP. “It unfortunately is going to get worse before it gets better.”
Morgues are starting to run out of space in Johnson County, Kansas, said Dr Sanmi Areola , director of the health department. More than 30 residents have died in the county this year, the vast majority of them unvaccinated.
https://twitter.com/zkrislov/status/1483519466864615424
https://twitter.com/netiamccray/status/1483516011357868038
Sorry everyone else in my apartment building, hopefully they figure out the workaround.
I mean, today was the “beta test” day. I’d bet this is a bug that gets fixed soon. It’s probably not intentional.
I told u guys! This is important!
please remember to format your apartment correctly when you enter in your address.
I usually do it all on one line but USPS specifically gets pissy about it sometimes so I used the separate Apt box, mea culpa.
But Americans shouldn’t expect a rapid turnaround on orders and will have to plan ahead and request tests well before they meet federal guidelines for when to use one.
The White House said “tests will typically ship within seven-12 days of ordering” through USPS, which reports shipping times of one to three days for its first-class package service in the continental US.
Lol I wonder if I was first from my apartment building. Probably. It worked fine with our apartment number in the apartment number box.
Wonder if we could order a second set by putting the apartment number on the address line…
tar and feathers man
What’s the normalcy quotient in Japan? Bars and restaurants full? People working in person pretty much?
So that 270,000 dumbfucks to 30,000 unfortunates? At worst?
Now if they were all in purple states.
Other than the sudden spike and all masks all the time, it’s almost 100% back to normal has been for months. Restuarants, bars, and cafes are packed.
I’m not exactly amazed by some of your guys’ descriptions of mask usage in your area, but I do feel lucky. In my neighborhood if I go to a large grocery store mask compliance would be like 95% and of those mask wearers there’s be like 1/3 surgical, 1/3 N/KN95, 1/3 cloth or some bullshit like a bandana. Of course right next door in a restaurant people are chowing down all over completely maskless indoors. I haven’t eaten inside a restaurant since March 2020.
I noticed the sumo arena seems to be back to near full capacity.
