Your question seems to revolve around how to deal with the border versus getting a vaccine in Mexico, not whether or not to get it. I think everyone would tell you to get it asap. I can’t really help you about the border at all.
I’d re-evaluate in a month. March is so far away.
Get the booster
Health care workers who test positive and are asymptomatic for COVID-19 are allowed to return to work, according to new guidelines announced on Saturday by the California State Department of Public Health. No quarantine or testing is required.
Holy shit.
Am I going to have to rapid test my nurses this week what the fuck
Just drive yourself there and back. It will cost you one day round trip. I think that’s worth it.
With two shots in you, you’re almost certainly not going to die if you get Omicron, but the booster might spare you a couple of days of feeling like shit.
I’d absolutely take one day of driving over even two days regular cold symptoms. But maybe that’s just me. My hatred of colds is something I’ve mentioned before.
I’d say from an EV perspective it’s close, but getting the shot definitely reduces your variance.
I probably wouldn’t do it given those variables, but it’s really up to you because the math for the variables is so personal here.
The asymptomatic thing is horrible because people are liar liars.
I don’t know how that can be viewed as a decent mechanism, especially given how much turmoil surrounds Covid, testing and the vaccines.
In your opinion what percentage of Covid patients could you identify symptoms if the patient didn’t communicate with you in any way?
Maybe I’m missing something here. Are we supposed to think that driving to SD increases his chance of getting COVID in a meaningful way. Presumably he can drive up solo, he’ll have a minimal interaction with the border agents and a minimal interaction at wherever he gets the shots.
Anyone who goes to a restaurant is probably risking more than that.
I had a science book when I was a kid that was a book of puzzles, essentially, where you would have to figure out an answer or spot the fallacies in stuff. One of them was looking at the glass of hemlock Socrates supposedly drank, then estimating the number of glasses of water on earth, then being like “yeah there are 10,000 molecules of the hemlock in any given glass, what do you think about that?”. You flipped to the solution and it read simply “Beware the hemlock!”. I was very confused as a young kid. It took me some years to realise that the answer is “10,000 molecules of a thing is literally nothing”. Avogadro’s number - one mole - is 6 * 10^23.
My point is, “exposure of the immune system” to a few copies of the virus is not a consequential thing. You want thousands of copies at the very least.
For people in the ER? I could hit around 60% of patients I admit just from looking at them. Those are just the hypoxic ones.
Obviously a very rough estimate. People just tell you what is wrong really
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I mean, biology is wild and everyone is so different and this virus is crazy. Some people will get exposed and have zero problems because the mucus in their nose holes stopped infection. Some young healthy people are getting wiped out for reasons that aren’t entirely clear. Sometimes this gets past your non-specific immune system and sometimes your body needs to send in the cavalry.
I was considering the time investment, I don’t think it’s that likely he gets covid.
Going to a restaurant seems beyond the pale absurd at that moment.
Yeah. But the EV calculation needs to include the long tail of possible outcomes.
Sure. Most of the time its gonna save him a day or two of symptoms or less. But there a small percentage that it saves his life, or saves him from an expensive trip to the ER, or saves him from long term health problems. It’s a small chance of a major impact.
I think that swings it to getting the booster. And I dont think it’s close.
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Agreed. I kind of assumed that was implied, but maybe not.
As far as whether it’s close or not, I don’t think it’s that clear. But unless someone starts making some assumptions with numbers we’re all just handwaving.
“20% of COVID survivors are experiencing long-term cognitive impairment”
100% of anti-vaxxers, though the decline started before the Covid infection.
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Yeah. Also to be clear, I haven’t looked at this study at all and there is probably publication bias at play here. That said, long COVID is definitely what I am most scared of with COVID. I had a 7-year relationship with a woman with idiosyncratic chronic-fatigue type symptoms and it is no joke. You do not want to be acquiring that.
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Australia’s Governor-General has COVID. The Governor-General is the Queen’s representative and effective head of state. Usually he’s a rubber-stamp factory but his role is an arbiter in a constitutional crisis. In 1973 the Governor-General sacked the govt and forced new elections after the Senate forced essentially a severe government shutdown.
I believe it was the Criminal Intent version of L&O with Vince D’Onofrio
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